BMIE Market 97535

Jackson County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,051 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,047 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,291 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,216 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$418,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,015 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97535
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	29.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97535. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.4	52	40%	+21.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.5	35	35%	+12.4
Market Momentum Score	48.1	48	25%	+12.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,804	60	40%	+23.9
Median household income (ACS)	66,052	41	40%	+16.2
Households (ACS)	2,051	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	35%	+6.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.8	35	25%	+8.8
Population (ACS)	4,804	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,052	41	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	11.1	40	20%	+8.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · Mexican 5 · American 4 · Asian 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amigos Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	Petro Stopping Centers, 3730 Fern Valley Rd	open
Angelos Pizza Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	725 N Main St	open
Charm Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	205 N Phoenix Rd	open
Clyde's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4495 S Pacific Hwy	open
Coffee Bach's	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	4495 S Pacific Hwy #340	open
Curbside King	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Asian	208 N Main St	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	724 Main St.	open
El Comal Taqueria and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	723 N Main St	open
Figaro's Pizza Figaro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	315 N Main St Ste B	open
Golden Phoenix Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	303 N Main St	open
Got Balls Meatball Truck LLC	Food truck · Delivery-focused		4410 S Pacific Hwy	open
Grass Shack Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		205 Fern Valley Rd	open
Happy Little Baker Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		310 N Main St	open
Hula Chill	Dessert		208 N Main St	open
Iron Skillet Iron Skillet	Casual dining	American	3730 Fern Valley Rd	open
Julek's Polish Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	4403 S Pacific Hwy	open
Jupiter Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	205 N Phoenix Rd	open
Kohi Lu Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	312 N Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	730 N Main Street	open
Loncheria Las Reyes Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4414 S Pacific Hwy	open
Los Tres Potrillos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	102 S Main St	open
Mazatlan Phoenix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Pizza	205 N Phoenix Rd	open
Moxie Brew	Brewery / taproom · Café · Bar	Coffee	106 E 1st St	open
Organicos Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4495 S Pacific Hwy Unit #420	open
Phoenix Dripp Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	312 N Main St Unit A	open
Phoenix, OR (Phoenix) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	724 Main St	open
Puck's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	109 S Main St	open
Rally at ETHOS	Bar		4410 S Pacific Hwy	open
Seoul Stix Korean Corndogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Korean · American	208 N Main St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	123 N Phoenix Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	315 N Main St. Ste A I-5 exit 24	open
Sushi & Bento Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	721 N Main St	open
Tacchini Agency Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		721 Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		604 N Main St.	open
The Burger and Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4403 S Pacific Hwy	open
The Meltdown	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4414 S Pacific Hwy	open
The White House by Anchor Valley	Winery / distillery / taproom		138 S Main St	open
Thee Ravenus King catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	205 N Phoenix Rd	open
Truffle Pig Craft Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Casual dining	American	208 N Main St	open
Pizzatori	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	721 Main St # C3	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	11	6	2	3	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	2	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	11	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	7	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97535. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
97504	4.2 mi	115	2023
97501	4.5 mi	145	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.