BMIE Market 97707

Deschutes County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,814 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,495 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,272 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,451 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±246 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$647,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60,012 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	62.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97707
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+21.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97707. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.7	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.6	39	35%	+13.5
Market Momentum Score	16.3	16	25%	+4.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,661	65	40%	+25.9
Median household income (ACS)	85,272	68	40%	+27.3
Households (ACS)	3,085	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15	16	35%	+5.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.5	26	25%	+6.5
Population (ACS)	6,661	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	85,272	68	20%	+13.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.7	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15	16	30%	+4.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 10 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baked! Sunriver, OR	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	56809 Venture Ln	open
Big Belly Burgers and Brew	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Burgers	56815 Venture Lane, # 501	open
Blondie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	57195 Beaver Dr	open
Brewed Awakenings Coffee Roasters Brewed Awakenings	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	57100 Beaver Dr	open
Cafe Sintra Sunriver	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	57031 Ponderosa Rd	open
Camp Abbot Taphouse	Bar · Brewery / taproom		56880 Venture Ln	open
Campfire Cucina l Pizzeria l Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	57100 Beaver Dr Bldg 18	open
Century Commons Taps & Trucks	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		56809 Venture Ln	open
Crosswater Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17600 Canoe Camp Dr	open
El Caporal Sunriver El Caporal Bend	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	Village at Sunriver mall, 57100 Beaver Dr	open
Frontier Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		17480 S Century Dr	open
Good-2-Go Food & Fun	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		57100 Beaver Dr	open
Goody's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	57100 Beaver Dr	open
Hot Lava Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	57100 Beaver Dr	open
Josie K's Deli And Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	56870 Venture Ln	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		56896 Venture Lane	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		3405 N Hwy 97	open
Lodge Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	17600 Center Dr	open
Marcello's Cucina Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	57031 Ponderosa Rd	open
McDivot's Cafe at Woodlands Golf Course	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	17890 W Core Rd	open
Mountain Jug	Bar		56805 Venture Ln	open
Owl's Nest	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	17600 Center Dr	open
Penny Mcpherson Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56815 Venture Ln	open
Rio Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	17430 Deschutes Rd	open
Riptide Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	57250 Overlook Rd	open
Rjb’s Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56880 Venture Ln	open
South Bend Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	57080 Abbott Dr	open
Spotted Frog Poolside Bar & Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	17605 CENTER Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	57057 Beaver Dr	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	56896 Venture Lane	open
Sunriver Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		56840 Venture Ln	open
T&S ExpressO Awakening	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee		open
The Backyard Cafe & Bar	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	17600 Center Dr	open
The Basecamp Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	17355 Spring River Rd	open
The Fold Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	57100 Beaver Dr Building 18	open
The Wallow Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	17363 Spring River Rd	open
Village Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	57100 Beaver Dr Building #7	open
Whiskey River	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		56880 Venture Ln	open
Zeppa Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17750 Caldera Springs Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	7	4	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	15	8	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	16	9	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	10	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	8	5	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	9	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	18	10	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	22	12	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	20	11	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	23	15	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	21	13	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	20	14	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	21	12	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	18	11	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	10	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	20	10	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	21	12	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	24	13	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	23	11	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	22	12	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	18	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	18	10	5	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	23	17	9	5	3	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97707. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.