BMIE Market 98024

King County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,908 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±186 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,650 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,246 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$160,641 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,056 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,107,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65,243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98024
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98024. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.1	73	40%	+29.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.5	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	35.2	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,908	57	40%	+22.6
Median household income (ACS)	160,641	97	40%	+38.9
Households (ACS)	1,674	58	20%	+11.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.9	43	25%	+10.8
Population (ACS)	3,908	57	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	160,641	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	50%	+8.5
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aroma Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	33429 Redmond-Fall City Rd SE	open
El Caporal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	33705 SE Redmond-Fall City Rd	open
Fall City Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	33723 SE Redmond-Fall City Rd	open
Fall City Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4050 Fall City Carnation Rd SE # 7903	open
Fall City Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4224 Preston Fall City Rd SE	open
Fall City Roadhouse & Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4200 Preston Fall City Rd SE	open
Last Frontier Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		33813 Redmond-Fall City Rd SE	open
Mercury's Coffee Co. Mercurys Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	33378 SE Redmond-Fall City Rd	open
MOOO! Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4302 Preston-Fall City Rd SE	open
Riverside Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		33729 Redmond-Fall City Rd SE	open
Sahara Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	33707 SE Redmond Fall City Rd	open
Small Fryes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	4225 Preston Fall City Rd SE	open
Twin Peaks Twin Peaks Brewing Co.	Casual dining	Breakfast · American		open
William Grassie Wine Estates William Grassie Wine Estates	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35922 SE 46th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	7	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	4	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	5	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	4	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	4	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98024. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98050	2.6 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.