BMIE Market 98053

King County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±460 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,784 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,652 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$192,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,928 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,213,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,561 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98053
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-18.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98053. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.3	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.6	84	35%	+29.3
Market Momentum Score	47.4	47	25%	+11.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,765	84	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	192,292	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	8,327	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	35%	+24.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	22,765	84	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	192,292	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	30%	+21.3
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · French 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bushnell Craft Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		24626 NE 102nd St	open
Bushnell Craft Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		24626 NE 102nd St	open
Coyote Creek Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	23525 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Cypress Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	22310 NE Marketplace Dr	open
Groove Cuisine Lab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · French	8711 224th Ave NE	open
Himitsu Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	22350 NE Marketplace Dr	open
Indi Qzeen Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian		open
Ixtapa Redmond Ridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22350 Ne Marketplace Dr Ste 106	open
Jalisco Mexican Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	23515 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	23535 NE Novelty Hill Rd Ste D310	open
Kabaab king	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Indian · Halal / kosher	NE Marketplace Dr	open
Karsons Redmond Llc Dba Subway 56349	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23530 Ne Redmond Fall City Rd Ste B	open
Luigi's Italian Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	23515 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	23545 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Mercurys Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	23532 Redmond-Fall City Rd NE	open
Ming's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	23515 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	23423 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Panaderia Gonzalez	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7213 234th Ave NE	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	23515 NE Novelty Hill Road, Suite 205	open
Pizza Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22310 NE Marketplace	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Silver Spoon Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	23525 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	23515 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3925 236th Ave NE	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	23530 Ne Redmond Fall City Rd Ste B	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	22310 Ne Marketplace Dr Ste 114	open
The Three Lions Pub	Bar · Casual dining		23525 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open
Tokyo Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	23525 NE Novelty Hill Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	22	21	8	11	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	19	8	9	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	3	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	3	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	15	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98053. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98074	3.5 mi	21	2023
98052	5.0 mi	171	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.