BMIE Market 98199

King County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,468 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±663 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,686 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,810 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$180,789 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,198,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98199
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+48.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 38–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98199. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.8	90	40%	+35.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.3	71	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	68.5	68	25%	+17.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,468	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	180,789	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	10,052	86	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.3	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.5	48	25%	+11.9
Population (ACS)	22,468	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	180,789	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.6	74	50%	+36.8
10-year restaurant growth	23.3	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	42.3	60	20%	+11.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (67)

By cuisine

Asian 9 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 7 · Japanese 6 · Seafood 6 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · American 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bar 9 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Other 3 · Quick service 2 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alaskan Leader Seafoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4215 21st Ave W	open
Americano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2818 Thorndyke Ave W	open
Bizarre Brewing	Brewery / taproom		4441 26th Ave W Ste A	open
Blue Heron	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	4001 Gilman Ave W #27	open
BNSF Interbay - Balmer Yard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2601 20th Ave W	open
Boxcar Ale House	Bar		3407 Gilman Ave W	open
Brewhaha Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2818 Thorndyke Ave W	open
Caffe Appassionato Coffee Roastery and Tasting Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4001 21st Ave W	open
Caravan Crepes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3321 W Mcgraw St	open
Chesa Pacific Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3656 34th Ave W	open
Cougar Mountain Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	4224 24th Ave W	open
Culture Shock Brew	Brewery / taproom		2215 W Commodore Way	open
Damoori Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	3101 W Jameson St	open
Dirty Couch Brewing	Brewery / taproom		2715 W Fort St	open
Discovery Espresso	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3103 W Jameson St	open
El Ranchon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3416 W McGraw St	open
Figurehead Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4001 21st Ave W Unit b	open
Geni's Ethiopian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	501 2nd Ave W	open
Gim Wah Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3418 W McGraw St	open
Graze	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2233 32nd Ave W	open
Hubco Magnolia Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3320 W Mcgraw St Ste 6	open
Ichiro Sushi & Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2434 32nd Ave W	open
Iyarin Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4441 26th Ave W	open
Kaspars Catering & Special Events	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3656 34th Ave W	open
Kinnaree Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	3311 W McGraw St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4217 Gilman Ave W	open
Ktc Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3216 W Wheeler St	open
Lucy's Bottle Shop	Bar		4036 23rd Ave W	open
Luigi's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3213 W McGraw St	open
Magnolia Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2120 W Emerson Pl	open
Magnolia Village Pub	Bar · Casual dining		3221 W McGraw St	open
Mclees Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2812 Thorndyke Ave W	open
Melt Cafe Inc	Café	Coffee	2818 Thorndyke Ave W	open
Menchie's	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3411 W McGraw St	open
Midnite Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	4001 21st Ave W Unit B @figureheadbrewing	open
Mondello Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean · European	2425 33rd Ave W #3	open
Mulleady's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	3055 21st Ave W	open
Mura Asian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	3216 W Wheeler St	open
New China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2986 2809 Thorndyke Ave W	open
Niko's Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	2231 32nd Ave W	open
North Pacific Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2440 W Commodore Way	open
Nutty Squirrel Gelato Nutty Squirrel Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2425 33rd Ave W STE B	open
Ocean Fare	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2828 Thorndyke Ave W Ste 306	open
Ofc	Bar		4259 23rd Ave W	open
Petit Pierre Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	3204 W McGraw St	open
Pizza IL Villaggio Magnolia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3208 W McGraw St	open
Queen Margherita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3111 W McGraw St	open
Serendipity Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	3222 W McGraw St	open
Shawarma Buzz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	2236 32ND Ave W	open
Silver Bay Seafoods - Craig	Quick service	Seafood · American	111 JT Brown Street	open
Slice Box Pizza - Magnolia Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3213 W McGraw St	open
Smoking Monkey Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3111 W McGraw St Unit 103	open
Sprinkles and Sweets	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	3409 27th Ave W	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3300 W McGraw St	open
Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	4209 21st Ave W Ste 100	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3320 W McGraw St	open
Sunny Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2120 W Emerson Pl B	open
Supreme Alaska Seafoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4225 23rd Ave W	open
Sustainable Harvest Coffee Importers	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2296 W Commodore Way	open
Szmania's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · Peruvian · American · Latin American (other)	3321 W McGraw St	open
Tanglewood Supreme	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3216 W Wheeler St	open
Teriyaki Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	4207 Gilman Ave W	open
The Clambake Bar	Bar		1516 Magnolia Blvd W	open
Time 4 Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	2812 Thorndyke Ave W	open
Uptown Espresso Uptown Espresso Seattle	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3223 W McGraw St	open
Wheeler Street Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3216 W Wheeler St	open
Yume Sushi Yume sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3217 W McGraw St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	25	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	32	23	11	7	5	5	NAICS1997
1999	35	26	13	8	5	5	NAICS1997
2000	32	25	12	8	5	4	NAICS1997
2001	36	30	14	8	8	3	NAICS1997
2002	32	25	14	7	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	31	26	14	6	6	2	NAICS2002
2004	31	26	15	7	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	33	28	14	10	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	32	29	12	13	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	34	28	14	9	5	4	NAICS2002
2008	38	33	16	12	5	4	NAICS2007
2009	37	33	15	14	4	3	NAICS2007
2010	38	33	16	13	4	3	NAICS2007
2011	40	33	16	13	4	4	NAICS2007
2012	39	32	18	8	6	4	NAICS2012
2013	36	30	16	8	6	3	NAICS2012
2014	37	33	20	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	35	31	17	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	36	32	19	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	40	35	18	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	32	15	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	42	36	18	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	42	35	17	10	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	36	19	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	39	22	10	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	37	21	10	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98199. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98107	1.7 mi	150	2023
98119	2.0 mi	38	2023
98117	2.7 mi	48	2023
98109	3.2 mi	172	2023
98121	3.6 mi	133	2023
98103	3.7 mi	198	2023
98102	4.0 mi	78	2023
98101	4.3 mi	237	2023
98195	4.6 mi	1	2011
98154	4.6 mi	1	2012
98174	4.6 mi	3	2020
98164	4.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.