BMIE Market 98229

Whatcom County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,321 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,600 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$633,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	50.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98229
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+61.5% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98229. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.3	84	40%	+33.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.8	78	35%	+27.2
Market Momentum Score	63.1	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,298	91	40%	+36.3
Median household income (ACS)	90,945	74	40%	+29.6
Households (ACS)	13,712	92	20%	+18.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.3	87	25%	+21.8
Population (ACS)	33,298	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	90,945	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5	61	50%	+38.4
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	30%	+24.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · American 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Café 8 · Quick service 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alger Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar		1758 Old Hwy 99 N	open
Blanchard Mountain Coffee Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1456 Lake Samish Rd	open
Bob's Burgers & Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4 Clubhouse Cir	open
Boomer Sooner	Bar		5 Green Hill Rd	open
Brewed Awakening	Café	Coffee	2101 Iowa St	open
Chinuk Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Spanish / tapas · Seafood	714 Lakeway Dr	open
Chois Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	806 Lakeway Dr	open
Cruisin Coffee Lakeway Cruisin Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1078 Lakeway Dr	open
Da Vinci's Classic Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1480 Electric Ave	open
El Agave Mexican Restaurant El Agave Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4 Clubhouse Cir	open
El Pollo Feo Smash Burgers	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1538 Kentucky St	open
El Rinconcito Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2416 Yew St	open
Emerald City Smoothie Emerald City Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1058 Lakeway Dr	open
Eve & Annie's American Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2275 Lake Whatcom Blvd	open
Far North Pizza & Beer	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Coffee	1030 Lakeway Dr	open
Greektown Food Truck	Food truck		1301 Fraser St Ste 106	open
Hideaway Apartments	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1320 Lakeway Dr Ste 100	open
Kulshan Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1538 Kentucky St	open
Lafeens Family Pride Donuts and Ice Cream	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1466 Electric Ave	open
Leaded Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1456 Lake Samish Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2430 Yew St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1072 Lakeway Dr	open
Lost Giants Cider Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1200 Meador Ave	open
Menchie's Frozen Yogurt Menchie's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	1070 Lakeway Dr	open
Mexican-American Border - Laredo, Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Mount Baker Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1305 Fraser St	open
Mt Baker Imaging Mt. Baker Imaging	Bakery	Bakery	3900 Wilkin St	open
Outpost Eats Food Truck Samish	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5090 Samish Way	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1306 lakeway dr	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	1312 Lakeway Drive	open
Pisa Pizza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1945 Lake Whatcom Blvd Ste A4	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Pizza'zza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2418 Alabama St	open
Port of Subs Port of Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1068 Lakeway Dr	open
Rhodes Cafe	Café	Coffee	1046 Lakeway Dr	open
Saigon Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese	1046 Lakeway Dr	open
Sol De Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1120 Lakeway Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	800 Lakeway Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1310 Lakeway Dr	open
Tacos Tepozteco	Food truck	Mexican	2039 Moore St	open
The Big Stick Barbecue Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1101 Iowa St	open
Tinos Pizza Pasta Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	1348 Lake Whatcom Blvd	open
Tino’s Pizza & Pasta Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1945 Lake Whatcom Blvd	open
Woods Coffee Woods Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	813 Lakeway Dr	open
Zoom Zoom Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	845 Lincoln St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	14	13	5	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	5	4	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	16	16	5	4	7	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	7	4	7	—	NAICS2007
2009	19	19	8	5	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	19	8	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	18	7	5	6	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	5	5	7	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	4	6	7	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	18	5	6	7	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	17	4	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	21	7	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	23	19	4	7	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	20	5	7	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	20	5	7	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	24	7	9	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	20	4	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	20	5	8	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	21	7	7	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98229. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.