BMIE Market 98247

Whatcom County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,115 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±953 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,072 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,282 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,700 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±391 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$564,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,007 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	66.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98247
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98247. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.0	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.8	50	35%	+17.4
Market Momentum Score	30.3	30	25%	+7.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,115	69	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	88,724	72	40%	+28.8
Households (ACS)	3,092	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.1
Population (ACS)	9,115	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	88,724	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	83.3	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Winery / distillery / taproom 6 · Bar 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Boulton Vineyard and Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		5535 Hillard Rd	open
Bourbon Bar Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2048 Central Rd	open
Cafe 544	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	302 E Main St	open
Cattle Grounds	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	114 W Main St	open
Chess House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1492 Central Rd	open
Cicchitti's East Coast Pizza	Food truck		3999 Deming Rd	open
Good To Go Meatpies-Lynden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	128 W Main Street	open
Herb Niemann's Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · German / Eastern European · European	203 W Main St	open
Lagom Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		4298 Mt Baker Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	119 Kirsh Dr	open
Master's Blend	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	107 E Main St	open
Mt Baker Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4298 Mt Baker Hwy	open
Probably Shouldn't Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3595 Breckenridge Rd	open
Raspberry Ridge Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6827 Hannegan Rd	open
Samson Estates Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1861 Van Dyk Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	102 W. Main Street Suite 101	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3740 Mt Baker Hwy	open
The Bourbon Restaurant & Lounge	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	108 W Main St	open
The Smokestack Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	210 W Main St	open
Valley Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	114 W Main St	open
Westside Pizza Westside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	102 W Main St	open
Willow Tree Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		5551 Finsrud Rd	open
Xtreme Bean Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	3706 Mt Baker Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	9	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	5	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	3	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	1	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	4	—	4	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	3	—	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	3	1	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	3	1	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	4	2	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	4	2	5	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	4	1	4	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	5	1	5	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	5	3	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	4	4	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	2	4	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	2	4	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	2	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	—	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	3	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98247. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98276	2.1 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.