BMIE Market 98248

Whatcom County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±567 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,361 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,739 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,862 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$589,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	71.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98248
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+141.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 25–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98248. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.9	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.7	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	65.6	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,498	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	91,060	74	40%	+29.7
Households (ACS)	10,083	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.5	55	35%	+19.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.2	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	28,498	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	91,060	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20.8	78	50%	+39.0
10-year restaurant growth	11.5	55	30%	+16.6
20-year restaurant growth	26.1	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (69)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 10 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chinese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 16 · Quick service 15 · Café 8 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Al's Downtown Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2012 Main St	open
Appel Farms	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6605 Northwest Dr	open
Asian Bistro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1730 La Bounty Dr	open
Barb's Pies and Pastries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2054 Main St	open
Bob's Burgers & Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1781 Main St	open
buttercup home bakery ferndale, wa	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5889 Northwest Dr	open
Cedar's Restaurant and Lounge	Casual dining · Bar	American	2019 Main St	open
Chihuahua Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5694 3rd Ave	open
Coconut Kenny's Coconut Kenny's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	1740 La Bounty Dr #1	open
Cruisin Coffee Ferndale Cruisin Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5885 Portal Way	open
Cruzin Cap	Bar · Dessert	Dessert	5016 Pacific Hwy	open
Curb Shots	Coffee shop	Coffee	6018 Portal Way	open
Curry House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	2034 Main St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5631 Riverside Dr	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	5720 Barrett Rd	open
Dimitris Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2020 Main St	open
Distillers Way	Winery / distillery / taproom		5235 Industrial Pl	open
District Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2000 Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1863 Main Street #103	open
DownTime Taps	Bar		1730 Labounty Dr	open
Eagles Roost	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · British / Irish pub food	2054 Main St	open
El Tapatio NW Taco Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2504 Grandview Rd	open
Ferndale Taco Time	Quick service		5623 Riverside Drive Ferndale, Washington 98248	open
Fringe Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5640 3rd Ave	open
Grant's Burgers Grant’s Burgers, Birchwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2254 Douglas Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1819 Main St	open
Jack's Paleo Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	1373 Admiral Pl Ste 102	open
Kowloon Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5625 3rd Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		3310 Slater Rd	open
Leader Block Trattoria and Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2026 Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2055 Vista Dr	open
Luxe Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5685 3rd Ave	open
Maggie's Pub	Bar		2030 Main St.	open
Main Street Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	2005 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1688 Main St	open
Mugshots Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5750 Vista Dr	open
Nopal	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6104 Portal Way	open
Nuova Simonelli	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	6940 Salashan Pkwy	open
Organo Coffee	Café	Coffee	5505 Hovander Rd	open
Our Place Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4920 Rural Ave	open
Outlaws Saloon	Bar		2023 Main St	open
Oyiso teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese · Japanese	2008 Main St	open
Panasia Panasia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4876 Haxton Way	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1730 Labounty Road	open
Pelmeni Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1920 Main St Ste 10	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1811 Main St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Pizzanini	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	4876 Haxton Way	open
Portage Bay Bar & Lounge	Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	4876 Haxton Way	open
Renaissance Orchards	Winery / distillery / taproom		5329 Olson Rd	open
Sabor Latino Restaurante y Pupuseria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	5687 3rd Ave	open
Skippers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	4884 Haxton Way	open
Sonic Drive-in	Quick service		1851 Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1894 Main St 101	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5675-3rd Ave	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1678 Main Street, Unit #2	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5720 Barrett Rd	open
Taco Time Taco Time NW	Quick service	Mexican	5623 Riverside Dr	open
Tadeo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1811 Main St	open
The Eagle's Nest	Bar · Casual dining		2038 Main St	open
The Mobile Mouth Hole	Food truck	American		open
The Score Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		2030 Main St	open
The Steak House at Silver Reef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	4876 Haxton Way	open
Tortuga	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	5184 Sparrow Ct	open
Trilby's BBQ Sauce	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1920 Main St	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1399 Slater Rd	open
Westside Pizza Westside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1887 Main St #104	open
Woods Coffee Woods Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1867 Main St	open
Kickin' A Saloon & Dance Hall	Bar		5225 Industrial Pl	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	25	21	13	6	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	23	21	12	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	22	20	13	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	22	19	10	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	26	21	11	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	26	23	12	7	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	26	24	12	7	5	1	NAICS2002
2005	27	26	14	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2006	31	30	15	10	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	25	11	8	6	—	NAICS2002
2008	28	25	11	8	6	—	NAICS2007
2009	29	26	12	8	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	31	29	13	8	8	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	25	12	8	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	33	28	14	9	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	32	26	12	9	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	35	29	13	11	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	33	27	12	10	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	33	26	13	9	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	37	27	13	10	4	4	NAICS2017
2018	35	24	11	9	4	4	NAICS2017
2019	37	25	10	11	4	5	NAICS2017
2020	38	28	11	13	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	40	30	14	12	4	4	NAICS2017
2022	42	32	14	14	4	4	NAICS2022
2023	41	29	12	12	5	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98248. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.