BMIE Market 98252

Snohomish County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±936 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,838 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±357 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,777 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,736 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,370 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,013 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,618 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$520,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53,037 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	238.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98252
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 17–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98252. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.6	75	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.7	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	69.1	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,361	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	98,370	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	3,838	70	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	10,361	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	98,370	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Asian 3 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Quick service 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alfy's Pizza	Fast casual	Pizza · Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls	401 N Granite Ave	open
Bateman Acres	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	921 E Galena St	open
Bella Caffe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		408 W Stanley St	open
Buzz Inn Steakhouse - Granite Falls Buzz Inn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	109 S Granite Ave	open
Convergence Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	108 N Alder Ave	open
Espresso Loco	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18905 State Route 92	open
FRATERNAL ORDER OF EAGLES	Bar		402 Granite Ave	open
Hook Line & Espresso	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	208 W Stanley St	open
Incredibars	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	21013 Menzel Lake Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	805 West Stanley Street, 805 West Stanley Street	open
Marco's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	108 W Stanley St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	502 W Stanley St	open
Monte Cristo Espresso LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8416 WA-92	open
Omega Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean · Greek	102 S Granite Ave	open
Pilchuck Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	115 N Granite Ave	open
Playa Bonita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	206 E Stanley St	open
Spar Tree	Casual dining · Bar		106 W Stanley St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	703 W Stanley Street	open
Teriyaki Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	408 W Stanley St	open
Teriyaki Wok 8	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	109 N Granite Ave	open
Thai House Authentic Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	402 E Stanley St	open
The Stoat	Bar		104 E Stanley St	open
Whitey's BBQ and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3530 230th Dr NE	open
Hanky Pies	Café	Coffee	106 Cascade Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	6	5	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	6	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	4	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	16	4	5	6	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	3	6	7	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	2	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	3	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	13	3	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	3	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	3	6	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	15	—	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	16	—	7	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	15	3	6	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	16	5	5	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98252. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.