BMIE Market 98296

Snohomish County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,896 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,690 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,956 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,814 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$177,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,358 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±262 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$927,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98296
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+380.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98296. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.1	91	40%	+36.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.8	77	35%	+26.9
Market Momentum Score	71.2	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,896	87	40%	+34.9
Median household income (ACS)	177,583	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	9,611	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.6	78	25%	+19.5
Population (ACS)	27,896	87	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	177,583	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.3	82	50%	+40.8
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (56)

By cuisine

Coffee 16 · American 8 · Asian 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · BBQ 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Coffee shop 15 · Winery / distillery / taproom 8 · Café 7 · Bar 5 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Airfield Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9900 Airport Way	open
Bamboo Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	13119 Seattle Hill Rd	open
Best of Both Worlds	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8305 168th St SE	open
Bittersweet Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	17308 State Route 9 SE	open
Breakfast Club Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8809 Maltby Rd	open
Brewers Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	20127 Broadway Ave	open
Buzz Inn Steakhouse Buzz Inn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	9900 Airport Way	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	19931 Fales Rd	open
Clearview Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	17820 WA-9	open
Cool Beans Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	16412 Broadway Ave	open
Cowgirls Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	17820 State Route 9 SE	open
Cunios Clearview	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	16510 WA-9, # 101	open
Dea Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8813 Maltby Rd	open
Diedrich Espresso Clearview	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	17308 WA-9	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	13119 Seattle Hill Rd.	open
EJ Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	13119 Seattle Hill Rd	open
Express Java	Coffee shop	Coffee	16510 State Route 9 SE	open
Gorman Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		9206 200th St SE	open
Guardian Cellars Guardian Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		9206 200th St SE B-2	open
Happy Beans	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8526 164th St SE	open
Highmark Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	17308 State Route 9 SE	open
Ixtapa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	18104 State Route 9 SE	open
JM Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9206 200th St SE c5	open
JP Trodden Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		9206 200th St SE	open
Kelly Cannoli - Clearview	Dessert	Dessert	17809 State Route 9 SE	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	16315 State Route 9 SE	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		9125 Paradise Lake Rd	open
Larry's Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	17416 WA-9	open
Laterus Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		9206 200th St SE suite b 6	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4809 132nd Street #b104	open
Livia's Express Java	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	16510 WA-9	open
Lowerys coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	8526 164th St SE	open
Lucas James Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7732 152nd St SE	open
Lucy's Lemonade	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Juice / smoothies · American	10917 Elliott Rd	open
Maltby Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	8809 Maltby Rd	open
Maltby Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8813 Maltby Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	17422 State Route 9 SE	open
One Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	17424 State Route 9 SE	open
Picnik Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	6621 Maltby Rd	open
Rush Lattin Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		9206 200th St SE STE B-6a	open
Seattle Hill Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Halal / kosher · Greek	13119 Seattle Hill Rd	open
Sky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	16315 WA-9	open
Snoqualmie Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	21106 86th Ave SE	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	17408 Snohomish Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	17408 Woodinville Snohomish Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	17520 WA-9	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14611 87th Ave SE	open
Strikers' Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	20414 121st Ave SE	open
Tacos Monte Alban	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10203 Airport Way	open
Taqueria Pollo Asado El Pollo Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	16510 WA-9	open
Tee Sud Thai Rustic and Bar	Bar	Thai · Asian	13119 Seattle Hill Rd	open
The As Seen On Tv Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20011 87th Ave SE	open
The Golf Club at Echo Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20414 121st Ave SE	open
The Vault	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9206 200th St SE	open
Tran Family Pho Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13119 Seattle Hill Rd Ste 101	open
Wohlfert Craft Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		17326 Snohomish Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	16	5	7	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	18	17	5	8	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	20	4	6	10	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	22	5	7	10	—	NAICS2002
2006	23	20	6	5	9	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	22	6	5	11	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	23	5	9	9	—	NAICS2007
2009	23	22	5	9	8	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	24	6	10	8	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	18	5	6	7	1	NAICS2007
2012	19	17	3	7	7	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	21	5	10	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	22	8	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	23	8	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	18	7	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	5	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	19	5	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	22	6	8	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	23	5	10	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	24	5	11	8	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	23	6	9	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	24	8	9	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98296. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98012	4.5 mi	100	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.