BMIE Market 98311

Kitsap County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,168 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,483 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±574 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,305 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,757 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,948 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$471,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,777 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98311
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+94.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,750.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	40 (range 37–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98311. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.7	87	40%	+34.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.7	73	35%	+25.4
Market Momentum Score	66.8	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,168	88	40%	+35.0
Median household income (ACS)	108,757	86	40%	+34.4
Households (ACS)	10,458	86	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.3	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.1	60	25%	+14.9
Population (ACS)	28,168	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	108,757	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.7	62	50%	+31.1
10-year restaurant growth	23.3	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	94.7	80	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · Asian 9 · American 8 · Japanese 7 · Pizza 5 · Sushi 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · BBQ 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 13 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
303 Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	5464 WA-303	open
4 Sisters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1600 NE Roseway Ln #120	open
808 Poke Shop	Quick service	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls	5072 WA-303 Ste 103	open
Ambrosia Catering Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4954 State Highway 303 NE	open
Amole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Southeast Asian (other)	1296 NE McWilliams Rd	open
An&amp N Suites Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5960 State Highway 303 Ne Ste 160	open
Biiig Daddy's Hot Dawgs	Quick service	Hot dogs	9232 Kristine Dr NW	open
Bremerton Taco Time	Quick service		6749 State Route 303 NE Bremerton, WA 98311	open
Brownsville Bean Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9226 Brownsville Hwy NE	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1554 NE Fairgrounds Rd	open
Cafe Burrito	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	9226 Brownsville Hwy NE	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		1583 NE Fuson Rd	open
Dave's Garage Bar	Bar			open
Fairgrounds Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10 NE Silver Pine Dr	open
Golden Mum	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Chinese · American	32 NE Silver Pine Dr	open
GOURMET BURGERS AND MORE	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	6835 WA-303	open
Gyro King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	1554 NE Fairgrounds Rd	open
Hello Pho Bremerton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	5050 WA-303 Ste 125, B11	open
Joy Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5050 WA-303 Ste 105	open
Kin Coffee Collective	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4 NE Silver Pine Dr	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1554 NE Fairgrounds Rd	open
Lin's Teriyaki Fish & Chips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Filipino · British / Irish pub food	32 NE Silver Pine Dr #214	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5050 WA-303	open
Lumpia Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1554 NE Fairgrounds Rd #2	open
M&T Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	5464 State Highway 303 NE	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6755 Sr 303 Ne	open
Off The Chain Southern BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5889 WA-303 A	open
Oishi Japanese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1554 NE Fairgrounds Rd	open
Ootopia Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5885 WA-303	open
Oroweat Entenmann's Bakery Outlet	Bakery	Bakery	5887 Hwy 303	open
Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	5769 Hwy 303 NE	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5060 WA-303 Ste 130 Suite 130	open
Pizza Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1554 NE Fairgrounds Rd	open
Poodle Brewing Co	Bar · Brewery / taproom		1240 NW Huckle Dr	open
Putter's Restaurant & Lounge	Bar	American	2485 NE McWilliams Rd	open
Quarry Brew & Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Quiznos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	7058 State Highway 303 NE Ste B	open
Reality Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	368 NE Waaga Way	open
Rnj Smoked Meats Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5769 State Highway 303 NE	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	7034 State Highway 303 NE (1616	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5050 State Hwy 303 Ne	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	1401 NE McWilliams Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1554 NE Fairgrounds Road Suite 1A	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6797 State Hwy 303 N.E.	open
Sumo Sushi & Grill AYCE Sumo Kirkland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5066 WA-303	open
Taco Del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7058 State Highway 303 NE	open
Taco Time Taco Time NW	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6749 State Highway 303 NE	open
Taqueria La Rancherita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6835 State Highway 303 NE	open
The Brownsville Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	9790 Ogle Rd NE	open
The Shack on the Boardwalk	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 Washington Beach Avenue	open
The Toad House	Bar	Pizza	1405 NE McWilliams Rd #101	open
Tracyton Public House	Bar · Casual dining		403 NW Tracy Ave	open
Trappers Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1405 NE McWilliams Rd	open
Yamazaki Sushi & Steaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	1405 NE McWilliams Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	7	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	19	6	10	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	20	7	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	23	6	13	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	28	28	6	13	9	—	NAICS2002
2007	29	28	5	14	8	1	NAICS2002
2008	32	29	7	16	6	2	NAICS2007
2009	30	29	5	17	7	1	NAICS2007
2010	29	28	5	17	6	1	NAICS2007
2011	27	26	5	16	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	29	27	7	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	32	30	9	18	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	32	30	9	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	32	30	9	18	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	10	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	36	34	12	17	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	36	35	12	17	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	32	12	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	34	12	17	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	36	12	18	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	36	34	10	18	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	39	37	12	19	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98311. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98310	2.8 mi	39	2023
98383	4.3 mi	98	2023
98314	4.5 mi	1	2016
98337	4.6 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.