BMIE Market 98312

Kitsap County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	36,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,761 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,203 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,105 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,449 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,594 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,739 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$473,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,831 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98312
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+19.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+34.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+72.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	43 (range 39–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98312. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.9	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.3	71	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	69.5	69	25%	+17.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	36,307	92	40%	+36.9
Median household income (ACS)	90,449	74	40%	+29.4
Households (ACS)	14,436	93	20%	+18.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	19.4	62	35%	+21.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.8	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	36,307	92	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	90,449	74	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.9	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	19.4	62	30%	+18.7
20-year restaurant growth	34.4	56	20%	+11.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (115)

By cuisine

Coffee 26 · American 22 · Burgers 8 · Mexican 8 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Breakfast 5 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 5 · BBQ 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Chinese 2 · Greek 2 · Italian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 64 · Bar 21 · Café 21 · Coffee shop 21 · Quick service 21 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
19th Hole Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2171 Erlands Point Rd NW	open
6Th & Java	Coffee shop	Coffee	601 Naval Ave	open
Aceituno's Mexican Food Aceituno's Mexican Food Spanaway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2550 Burwell St	open
Amelia’s Hangar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Breakfast · American	8830 State Highway 3 SW	open
Amy's Decadent Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	2801 6th St	open
Authentic Taste of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3329 Kitsap Way	open
Bay Street Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3304 Kitsap Way	open
Bbq Tex- Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · BBQ	4109 WA-16	open
Big Apple Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6720 Kitsap Way	open
Big Joe’s Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	308 N Callow Ave	open
Boat shed Restaurant 101 shore drive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Brewed Awakening Brewed Awakening	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	9066 NW Holly Rd	open
Brother Don's Atm	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · American	4200 Kitsap Way	open
Bualadh Bos Public House	Bar		2712 15th St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3333 Kitsap Way	open
Cafe Corvo	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	629 N Callow Ave	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	4815 KITSAP WAY	open
Center Plate	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Catering		6020 W Werner Rd	open
Centuries Past Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2602 6th St	open
Cheryl's Farm Stand	Food truck		3273 Northlake Way NW	open
Chico Pizza & Chicken	Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	2165 Erlands Point Rd NW	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	627 N Callow Ave	open
Coffee Connection	Café	Coffee	5610 Kitsap Way	open
Cowgirl Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	4399 Kitsap Way	open
Crazy Eric's Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	701 S National Ave	open
Crossbar Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1191 Pendergast Pkwy	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5000 Kitsap Way	open
Deep Draft Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3536 W Belfair Valley Rd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ · Sandwiches · American	4716 W Werner Rd	open
El Camino Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		610 N Callow Ave	open
Emma's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		320 S National Ave	open
Emperor's Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Chinese	3509 Kitsap Way	open
Family Pancake House Family Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	3900 Kitsap Way	open
Family Pancake House Management	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3331 Kitsap Way Ste D	open
Fleet Reserve Branch 29	Bar		521 S National Ave	open
Franz Bakery Outlet Franz Outlet The Dalles	Bakery	Bakery	4800 Auto Center Way	open
G.O.A.T. Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3808 WA-16	open
Gyro Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	2665 6th St	open
Gyro's Etc. The Greek Connextion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	2717 6th St	open
Hi Lo's 15th Street Cafe Llc	Café	Coffee	2720 15th St	open
Hillary Tutterrow, Realtor	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee		open
Horse and Cow Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3050 Northlake Way NW	open
Hot Java Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	2803 Kitsap Way	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		4305 Kitsap Way	open
Jimmy D's Hwy 3 Roadhouse	Casual dining · Bar	American	4017 WA-3	open
Johnny Rockets	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3100 Kitsap Way	open
Jolie Bean Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	601 Naval Ave	open
Juanito's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6721 Kitsap Way	open
Jumpin' Bean Java	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2132 6th St	open
Keep’em Koming	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2332 6th St	open
La Poblanita Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2624 6th St	open
Leetkinc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 N Callow Ave	open
Lighthouse Coffee Baystreet	Coffee shop	Coffee	3304 Kitsap Way	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1107 N Callow Ave	open
Los Encantos World Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Latin American (other)	2712 15th St	open
Mandiles Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3850 Kitsap Way #105	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3426 Kitsap Way	open
McGavin's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	619 N Callow Ave	open
Midnight Dim Sum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1340 Marine Dr	open
National Tavern	Bar		757 S National Ave	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3400 Kitsap Way Ste A	open
Peak Level Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5255 Chico Way NW	open
Peninsula Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3764 State Highway 16 W	open
Pepsi Cola Bottling	Bar		5210 1st St	open
Pho Tai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	104 N Callow Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2119 6th St Kitsap	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Pogi Bread & Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2502 6th St	open
Quick & Tasty's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4109 WA-16 W	open
Ridgeline Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		941 N Callow Ave	open
Romeo Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6812 Kitsap Way	open
RPM cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Sadie Mae's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2803 Kitsap Way	open
Sadie Mae's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	4011 WA-16	open
Sandhu Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5000 Kitsap Way	open
Sargeant Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2171 Erlands Point Rd NW	open
Seabeck Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3523 Chico Way NW	open
Seiu Local Nine Two Five	Bar	Burgers	2602 Burwell St	open
Silver City Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		206 Katy Penman	open
Spiro's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3329 Kitsap Way	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3933 Kitsap Way	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian	900 N Callow Ave	open
Steel City Cafe	Casual dining	American	2513 6th St	open
StreetEats Bremerton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2101 Burwell Pl	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3850 Kitsap Way	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	Boone Rd Bldg HPO-1	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4710 W Werner Rd	open
Sugar Rush Waffles & Crepes	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	2665 6th St Ste 4	open
Sugar Shack Espresso	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3588 Chico Way NW	open
Suzy's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · American	2665 6th St	open
Sweet and Smokey Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast · BBQ	4604 Kitsap Way	open
Sweet Dahlia Baking, LLC The Counter Custom Burgers	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	335 N Callow Ave	open
Sweet Rye's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3297 Longhorn Dr NW	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3320 Kitsap Way	open
Taqueria Las Torres 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3940 Kitsap Way	open
Thai Palace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	610 N Callow Ave	open
The 884 Pub	Bar · Casual dining		757 National Ave S	open
The Expresso Lane	Coffee shop	Coffee	4104 Kitsap Way	open
The Garage \| Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6812 Kitsap Way	open
The Hi-Fidelity Lounge	Bar		2711 6th St	open
The Little Cookiery	Bakery	Bakery	3257 Longhorn Dr NW	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5004 Kitsap Way	open
The Neff-Yo Cafe and Bakery	Coffee shop	Coffee	80 SW 7th St	open
The Yard	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2711 6th St	open
Tiny's House of Crabs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4930 Kitsap Way	open
Tony's Italian Restaurant & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4908 Kitsap Way	open
True Trail Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2711 6th St	open
Valhalla Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4921 Auto Center Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	925 Adele Ave	open
WEST HILLS ESPRESSO	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4650 Werner Rd	open
Wig Wam Pub	Bar	BBQ	3548 W Belfair Valley Rd	open
Wigwam Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		123 Wencker Cir	open
Wiley's Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2320 6th St Ste 100	open
Wilson 4g Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4006 W State Highway 16	open
Yummi Teriyaki & Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	301 Naval Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	33	25	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	33	27	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	30	25	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	38	32	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	39	32	16	11	5	7	NAICS1997
1999	34	30	15	10	5	4	NAICS1997
2000	33	29	13	12	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	34	29	14	10	5	4	NAICS1997
2002	44	35	14	15	6	6	NAICS1997
2003	37	32	10	15	7	4	NAICS2002
2004	43	39	12	18	9	4	NAICS2002
2005	47	42	15	18	9	4	NAICS2002
2006	48	42	17	19	6	4	NAICS2002
2007	45	42	18	17	7	2	NAICS2002
2008	47	43	18	16	9	3	NAICS2007
2009	42	38	16	14	8	3	NAICS2007
2010	42	38	16	15	7	3	NAICS2007
2011	38	33	14	14	5	4	NAICS2007
2012	44	38	13	15	10	4	NAICS2012
2013	42	36	14	14	8	4	NAICS2012
2014	40	35	15	13	7	3	NAICS2012
2015	40	35	16	13	6	3	NAICS2012
2016	39	33	16	11	6	3	NAICS2012
2017	41	35	19	11	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	41	35	16	15	4	3	NAICS2017
2019	44	38	18	15	5	3	NAICS2017
2020	43	36	16	15	5	3	NAICS2017
2021	44	37	14	17	6	3	NAICS2017
2022	52	43	21	14	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	50	43	19	17	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98312. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.