BMIE Market 98346

Kitsap County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,920 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,034 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,010 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,297 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,089 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$114,779 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,591 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±254 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$612,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98346
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+58.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98346. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.9	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.3	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	37.6	38	25%	+9.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,920	71	40%	+28.2
Median household income (ACS)	114,779	89	40%	+35.4
Households (ACS)	4,010	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	35%	+17.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.2	40	25%	+9.9
Population (ACS)	9,920	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	114,779	89	20%	+17.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5	23	50%	+11.3
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	35.7	56	20%	+11.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Coffee 12 · American 10 · Pizza 5 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 13 · Coffee shop 9 · Café 8 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Quick service 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Argensal	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Latin American (other)	10943 NE State Highway 104	open
Aviator Coffees & Teas	Coffee shop	Coffee	25876 Washington Blvd NE	open
Boosted Vibes BV Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6018 NE WA-104	open
Borrowed Kitchen Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	10978 NE State Hwy 104 Ste 111	open
Carbon Mexican Steakhouse Carbon Mexican Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Mexican	11171 NE State Hwy 104	open
Cedar Ridge Grill Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	22795 Three Lions Pl NE	open
Cellar Cat	Bar		11253 NE State Hwy 104	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	26605 State Highway 104 NE	open
Da Poke Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	25960 Central Ave NE	open
Demetris Woodstone Taverna (Kafe Neo Woodstone Group)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Spanish / tapas · Greek	11171 NE State Highway 104	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	8208 Ne State Hwy 104 Suite 107	open
Downpour Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		10991 NE State Highway 104	open
Eagle’s Nest Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8000 Little Boston Rd NE	open
Filling Station	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11200 WA-104	open
Galare Thai Kingston \| Kingston WA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	26050 Illinois Ave NE	open
Hood Canal Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		26499 Bond Rd NE	open
Iggy's Foods LLC Iggy's Alive & Cultured	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar		10920 WA-104	open
Island Cool Ice Cream (formerly Mora Iced Creamery) Mora Iced Creamery	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	11250 NE State Hwy 104	open
J'aime Les Crepes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · French · European	11264 WA-104	open
Joy Luck Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10978 NE State Hwy 104	open
Kingston Corner Stop Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	6018 NE WA-104	open
Little City Candy Company	Dessert		11253 NE State Highway 104	open
Los Tres Compadres Los Tres Compadres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10978 NE State Hwy 104	open
Main Street Ale House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11225 NE State Highway 104	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10977 Ne State Hwy 104	open
Mi Sueño Tacos y Más	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11227 NE State Highway 104	open
Mossback	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	26185 Ohio Ave NE	open
My Girl Drive-In & Museum	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Oldies Piano Bar & Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11253 NE State Highway 104	open
Over the Moon Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	11229 NE State Hwy 104	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8202 NE State Highway 104 Ste B101	open
Pizza Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10978 NE State Hwy 104	open
Point Julia Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	7989 NE Salish Ln	open
Puerto Vallarta Puerto Vallarta Port Orchard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	8208 WA-104 #106	open
Shared Dream Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		34721 Hood Canal Dr NE	open
Sourdough Willy's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11265 NE State Hwy 104	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	8196 SR 104 & Hansville Road	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8215 NE State Hwy 104	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10978 NE State Highway 104	open
Sweet Life Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	11201 NE State Hwy 104	open
The Boom Room	Bar		7989 NE Salish Ln	open
The Coffee Oasis	Coffee shop	Coffee	11212 NE State Highway 104	open
The Cup & Muffin	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	10969 NE State Hwy 104	open
The Grub Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches · Burgers	11130 NE State Hwy 104	open
The Lounge at d'Vine Bistro	Bar		11227 NE State Hwy 104	open
The Market Fresh	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Buffet · Bar	American	7989 NE Salish Ln	open
The Oak Table Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11171 NE Hwy 104	open
The Saucy Sailor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	11252 NE State Hwy 104	open
Westside Pizza Westside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	25960 Ohio Ave NE Ste 102	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8196 WA-104	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	14	13	3	7	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	4	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	12	3	6	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	2	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	15	5	5	4	2	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	6	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	16	7	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	19	17	7	6	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	21	18	5	9	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	24	22	5	12	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	19	5	8	6	1	NAICS2007
2009	19	18	6	8	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	20	19	6	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	19	6	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	6	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	6	10	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	7	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	17	6	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	20	6	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	20	7	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	22	9	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	20	9	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	19	7	8	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	19	8	7	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98346. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98364	3.4 mi	4	2022
98342	4.9 mi	1	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.