BMIE Market 98640

Pacific County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,386 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±509 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,756 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,380 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,939 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,735 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	63.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,220 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$355,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98640
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98640. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.8	54	40%	+21.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.9	39	35%	+13.6
Market Momentum Score	29.4	29	25%	+7.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,386	62	40%	+24.7
Median household income (ACS)	65,735	40	40%	+16.0
Households (ACS)	2,756	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13	60	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	5,386	62	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	65,735	40	20%	+8.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-30	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · American 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Café 4 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BÁ Long - Bcr	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	Vinhomes Ocean Park	open
Barbe-queen	Dessert	Dessert	1513 Bay Ave	open
Berta's Shave Ice and Kettle Corn	Dessert · Food truck		1811 Bay Ave	open
Coastal Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1414 260th Pl	open
Colleen's Coffee House & Tapestry Rose Yarn Shop	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1024 Bay Ave	open
Crown Alley Irish Pub	Bar		21712 Pacific Way	open
Doc's Tavern	Bar		1414 Bay Ave	open
Dollar Wave Plus Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21706 Pacific Way	open
DuneSide Trading Co	Bakery	Bakery	21712 Pacific Way	open
Great Day Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	31508 J Pl	open
Kiss of Mist Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	25311 Vernon Ave	open
Klipsan Mini Mart & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21706 Pacific Way	open
MyCovio’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1311 Bay Ave	open
Resolution Hope	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	289 Mount Hope Ave #M10	open
Sierra's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1513 Bay Ave	open
Streetside Taco Ocean Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Pizza	1910 Bay Ave	open
The Berry Patch	Casual dining	American	1513 Bay Ave	open
Tu Tu's Lunchwagon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian	1509 256th Pl	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	4	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	6	1	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	4	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	7	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98640. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98641	4.2 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.