BMIE Market 98812

Okanogan County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,834 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,580 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,899 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$878 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$354,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71,930 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	193.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98812
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 1–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98812. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.7	47	40%	+18.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.0	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	34.9	35	25%	+8.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,834	60	40%	+23.9
Median household income (ACS)	59,297	28	40%	+11.4
Households (ACS)	1,580	57	20%	+11.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.7
Population (ACS)	4,834	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	59,297	28	20%	+5.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	-44.4	7	20%	+1.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · American 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos El Chulo	Coffee shop · Dessert	Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	507 W Main	open
Brewster Fit Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	500 Main Ave	open
Camperos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	301 Main Ave	open
Champs Chicken Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	907 STATE HIGHWAY 97	open
Champs Chicken Champs Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	907 Old WA-97	open
Dahlia Hills	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25770 US Highway 97	open
El Parrandero	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	500 W Main	open
La Perla de Jalisco	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	500 Main Ave	open
Lone Point Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6 Lakeview Way	open
Los Paisas Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	319 Main Ave	open
Lotus Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	410 US-97	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	715 Hwy 97	open
Mi Pueblo Market \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	623 Main Ave	open
Mountain View Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	810 US-97	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	907 State Hwy 97, Brewster Market Place Grocery	open
Taco Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	405 Hwy 97	open
Un pedacito De Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		309 Hwy 97	open
Wandering Woodpile	Catering	BBQ · American	60 Lakeview Way	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	5	1	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98812. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.