BMIE Market 98823

Grant County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±888 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,055 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,576 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$267,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	298.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98823
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98823. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.7	65	40%	+25.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.5	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	40.9	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,188	74	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	73,074	52	40%	+20.8
Households (ACS)	4,379	72	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.2	45	25%	+11.3
Population (ACS)	12,188	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	73,074	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.6	23	50%	+11.6
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	23.5	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

Mexican 10 · American 9 · Coffee 5 · Burgers 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 11 · Bar 10 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
12 Hawks Sports Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		140 Division Ave W	open
AlChile Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	33 Basin St SW	open
Bank Tavern Bank Tavern Kogarah	Casual dining · Bar		226 2nd Ave NW	open
Barb & Ed's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	601 Basin St NW	open
Basinstreet Espresso	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1070 Basin St SW	open
Baur Artisan Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	11 Basin St NW	open
Be Mai Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	263 Basin St NW	open
Big Daddy's Sports Bar	Bar		137 1st Ave NW	open
Brewed Bliss Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	328 Basin St SW	open
Brix & Stone	Winery / distillery / taproom		107 Basin St SW	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1306 Basin St SW	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1352 Basin St SW	open
Country Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	245 Basin St NW	open
Cup of Joy Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	430 Division Ave E	open
D K's Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	805 Basin St NW	open
Discovery Cider Company	Bar		237 Basin St SW	open
Dusty's In-N-Out	Quick service	Burgers · American	1277 Basin St SW	open
El Agave Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	906 Basin St SW	open
Ephrata Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	Basin st	open
Express Ice -Twice the Ice - Water and Ice Express Ice - Water and Ice	Bar		1706 S Basin St SW	open
Heart Matters Education Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		341 Basin St NW	open
Hernandez Cano Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		906 Basin St SW	open
Jimmy’s Hotdogs & Catering	Food truck	Hot dogs · American	203 Basin St SW	open
La Cierrita Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	356 Basin St NW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1010 Basin St Sw	open
Mi Cocinita & Groceries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		444 E Division Ave	open
Millie's Wine Bar	Bar		107 Basin St SW	open
Mis Antojitos Locos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	404 Basin St NW	open
Mommy Yum Yum Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Vietnamese · Asian	356 Basin St NW	open
NS Italian Fresh Take to Go	Quick service		33 Basin St NW	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	143 1st Avenue NW	open
Pita Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean	26 Basin St. Northwest	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1115 Basin St SW	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Red Silo Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee		open
Reel Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	347 Basin St NW	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1250 Basin St SW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	303 Basin St SW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1399 Southeast Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1305 Basin St	open
Taco Maker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1352 Basin St SW	open
Taqueria Covian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1105 Basin St SW	open
Tequilas Mexican Restaurant Tequilas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	222 Basin St NW	open
Time Out Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	1095 Basin St SW	open
TJ Harley's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	144 Division Ave E	open
Tots Lounge	Bar		405 Diamond Dr Suite B	open
Uggie Boo's Private Club	Bar	Mexican	48 Basin St NW	open
Wendy's Steakhouse & Tavern	Bar		144 W Division Ave	open
Whistle Junction Tap House	Bar			open
Winchester Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		7907 Road 11.5 NW	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1150 Basin St SW	open
Basin Street Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	132 Basin St NW	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	14	7	6	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	5	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	16	12	6	5	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	19	15	8	6	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	21	18	10	6	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	20	17	8	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	16	6	7	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	5	8	3	4	NAICS2002
2006	19	15	4	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	4	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	6	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	15	5	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	6	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	21	18	6	8	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	7	7	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	26	22	8	11	3	4	NAICS2012
2015	24	21	9	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	23	20	6	10	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	23	20	6	11	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	24	22	7	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	6	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	19	6	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	18	5	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	19	6	9	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	21	8	9	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98823. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.