BMIE Market 99016

Spokane County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,615 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,880 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,012 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±741 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,480 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,967 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,939 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,931 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$477,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,756 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 99016
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 99016. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.6	83	40%	+33.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.4	78	35%	+27.4
Market Momentum Score	70.5	70	25%	+17.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,615	83	40%	+33.1
Median household income (ACS)	103,472	83	40%	+33.2
Households (ACS)	8,012	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.2	97	25%	+24.2
Population (ACS)	21,615	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	103,472	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · Bakery 5 · American 3 · Dessert 3 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
509 Grind	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	1612 N Barker Rd	open
Aguila Y Sol \| Mexican	Food truck	Mexican	18605 E Appleway Ave	open
Bake My Day	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	18123 E Appleway Ave	open
Barker Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18707 E Boone Ave	open
Boomers Classic Rock Bar & Grill	Bar		18219 E Appleway Ave	open
Brewz on Barker	Bar		18723 E Cataldo Ave	open
C.B. Quenchers	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		18115 E Appleway Ave	open
Capitol Bar&Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	18219 E Appleway Ave	open
Cozy Coffee Crew	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	514 N Barker Rd	open
Dodos at the High Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	17416 E Sprague Ave	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18707 E Boone Ave	open
Green City Saloon	Bar		18221 E Appleway Ave	open
International Coffee & Bakery	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	18209 E Appleway Ave	open
Kaffa Ethiopian Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Liberty Sips	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	19311 E Appleway Ave	open
Malinka Market	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	18209 E Appleway Ave	open
Rise Espresso ScrumdiddilyUmptious Donuts	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Dessert · Café	Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1201 N Barker Rd	open
Side Hustle Syrups	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		17905 E Appleway Ave	open
Spokane Sugar Candy	Dessert	Dessert	1612 N Barker Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18707 E Laberry Dr	open
The Blissful Whisk	Bakery	Bakery	1612 N Barker Rd	open
The Boneyard	Bar		17905 E Appleway Ave	open
The Nut Factory	Dessert		19425 E Broadway Ave	open
Thomas Hammer Coffee Roasters Thomas Hammer Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	16528 E Desmet Ct	open
TT's Old Iron Brewery & BBQ	Brewery / taproom		1950 N Harvest Pkwy	open
Versalia Pizza Liberty Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20760 E Indiana Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1201 North Barker Road	open
The Stupid Cow Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17416 E Sprague Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	2	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 99016. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
99023	2.5 mi	1	2015
99019	3.5 mi	27	2023
99037	4.6 mi	32	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.