BMIE Market 99706

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	19 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	55.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	66.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2001 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2001 detail (NAICS1997) · by USPS ZIP 99706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2001, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2006	1 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1995–2001 (6 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	2 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	2 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	1 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 99706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1995–2001, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alaska and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 92, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 2 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	1.9	2	40%	+1.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	1.2	1	35%	+0.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 2 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24	3	40%	+1.1
Median household income (ACS)	13,750	0	40%	+0.1
Households (ACS)	10	4	20%	+0.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 1 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	416.7	1	25%	+0.3
Population (ACS)	24	3	20%	+0.9
Median household income (ACS)	13,750	0	20%	+0.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file

No listings loaded for this ZCTA yet. Counts above come from the Census; individual listings arrive from Overture Places.

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	—	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 99706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.