BMIE Market 01095

Hampden County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,618 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,302 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,319 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,535 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$122,330 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,464 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±241 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$415,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,672 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01095
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+17.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01095. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.0	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.5	71	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	49.9	50	25%	+12.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,618	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	122,330	91	40%	+36.4
Households (ACS)	5,302	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.7	58	25%	+14.4
Population (ACS)	14,618	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	122,330	91	20%	+18.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	17.7	44	20%	+8.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · American 6 · Coffee 6 · Italian 5 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anchor House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2589 Boston Rd	open
Angry Badger Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		547 Springfield St	open
Blue Elephant Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2000 Boston Rd	open
Cima Restaurant & Chop House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Steakhouse	2200 Boston Rd	open
Common Grounds Cafe & Lounge	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2341 Boston Rd	open
Cookie Creatives by Jennifer	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2133 Boston Rd	open
Danas Grillroom	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2343 Boston Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2030 Boston Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2144 Boston Rd	open
Fieldcrest Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2343 Boston Rd	open
Friendly Ice Cream Corp	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2377 Boston Rd	open
Garvey's	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2040 Boston Rd	open
Horizons Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2200 Boston Rd	open
Krazy Jakes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2537 Boston Rd	open
Mandarin Wilbraham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	2571 Boston Rd	open
Neighborhood Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2341 Boston Rd	open
Odriscolls	Bar			open
Pafumi's on main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	468 Main St	open
Pan'e Dolcetti	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2133 Boston Rd Ste 3	open
Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1876 Boston Rd	open
Pizza Pub And Restaurant Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2391 Boston Rd	open
Pop's Biscotti & Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	2341 Boston Road The Wilbraham Shops	open
Rice Fruit Farm	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	757 Main St	open
Roosters Chicken n Waffles & Convenience -Wilbraham, MA (HALAL)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2341 Boston Rd	open
Route 20 Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	2341 Boston Rd. Wilbraham, Massachusetts	open
Scantic River Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		6 Burt Ln	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2005 Boston Rd	open
Stawco, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2537 Boston Rd Ste B	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2034 Boston Rd	open
Sugar D.l.'s Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery	2133 Boston Rd	open
Taproom Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2823 Boston Rd	open
The Crispy Biscuit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2341 Boston Rd	open
The Daily Pint	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2523 Boston Rd	open
The Guilty Grape Beer Wine and Provisions	Bar		461 Main St	open
The Local Table N Tap	Casual dining · Bar		2039 Boston Rd	open
The Sugar Chalet	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1 Crane Park Dr	open
The Village Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	462 Main St	open
Theme Cakes by Joelene	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2341 Boston Rd	open
Thiennga Kate Nguyen Executive Real Estate	Dessert · Bakery	Vietnamese · Dessert · Bakery	380 Main St	open
Venice Pizza & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · Pizza	2341 Boston Rd	open
Via Appia Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2133 Boston Rd	open
Walt's Lunch Box & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2803 Boston Rd	open
Wilbraham Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2341 Boston Rd Ste A130	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2035 Boston Rd	open
Jessica Donuts Inc	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2144 Boston Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	19	16	10	4	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	20	15	9	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	7	7	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	24	18	8	8	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	28	19	11	6	2	8	NAICS1997
2003	24	17	10	5	2	6	NAICS2002
2004	25	20	12	6	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	26	21	11	8	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	23	20	11	6	3	3	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	9	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	9	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	10	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	14	7	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	16	7	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	19	15	8	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	16	10	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	17	14	8	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	10	5	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	21	12	5	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	20	13	3	4	3	NAICS2017
2018	23	20	10	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	20	10	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	20	13	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	19	10	5	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	20	11	5	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01095. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01056	3.6 mi	31	2023
01129	3.7 mi	11	2023
01080	4.5 mi	3	2023
01151	4.6 mi	9	2023
01036	4.7 mi	7	2023
01119	4.7 mi	25	2023
01128	4.7 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.