BMIE Market 01469

Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,820 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,801 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,572 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,305 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±221 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$425,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,669 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01469
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01469. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.3	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	18.1	18	25%	+4.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,820	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	103,801	83	40%	+33.3
Households (ACS)	2,583	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.6	44	25%	+11.0
Population (ACS)	6,820	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	103,801	83	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	9.1	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
As Pizza Pizzazz Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Main St	open
Bailey's Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar		18 Main St	open
Bouillon Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	53 Main St	open
Cherry Hill Ice Cream Too	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	53 Main St	open
Cliff's Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	268 Main St	open
Cloud 9 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	18 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	17 Elm St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	28 Main St	open
Gourmet Donuts Gourmet Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	210 Main St	open
Gourmet House Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 Main St Ste R7	open
Ice Cream Factory	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7 Elm St	open
Main Street Cafe	Café · Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Coffee	210 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	20 Main St	open
Panda Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	18 Main Street	open
Patriot Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	24 Main St	open
Sophia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	220 Main St	open
subway	Other	Sandwiches	Main St	open
Sweet ‘n Salty	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	237 Main St	open
The Wine Nook	Bar		18 Main St #13	open
Townsend House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2 Depot St	open
Yee's Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	350 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	3	3	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	1	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	1	6	5	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	3	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	4	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	17	6	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01469. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01474	2.8 mi	3	2016
01463	4.7 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.