BMIE Market 01463

Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,697 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,342 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,497 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,348 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,800 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,301 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$482,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,960 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01463
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01463. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.3	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.7	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	68.8	69	25%	+17.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,697	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	123,911	92	40%	+36.6
Households (ACS)	4,342	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.6	78	25%	+19.5
Population (ACS)	11,697	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	123,911	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

Pizza 4 · American 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
C&S Pizza and Beefs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	51 Main St	open
Charlotte's Cozy Kitchen & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	142 Main St	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	75 Main St	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	112 Main St	open
Dolce Wood Fired Italian Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	116 Main St	open
Dr. Davis Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	67 Hollis St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	61-63 Main St	open
Franny's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	170 Main St	open
Main Stream Scoops at The Dam Grille	Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts	138 Main St	open
Mariano's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	105 Main St	open
McPhail Ice Palace Curling Center & Bar	Bar			open
Pepperell Crank Up	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10 Hollis St	open
Pepperell Spa	Restaurant (service type not stated)		170 Main St	open
Pizza Pizzazz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	75 Main St	open
Tara's Fried Dough	Food truck		7 Lomar Park	open
Tea Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Chinese · Coffee	2 Tarbell St	open
The Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	49 Main St	open
The Depot Grille and Bar	Bar		112 Main St	open
The Lazy Bubble	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	112 Main St	open
Wentworth Hollow	Bar	American		open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	2	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	3	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	2	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	5	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	4	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01463. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01450	4.5 mi	17	2023
01469	4.7 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.