BMIE Market 01550

Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,928 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,719 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,527 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,287 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,373 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$294,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01550
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+43.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 29–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01550. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.2	64	40%	+25.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.6	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	67.5	67	25%	+16.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,928	80	40%	+31.8
Median household income (ACS)	66,287	41	40%	+16.4
Households (ACS)	7,260	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.9	69	35%	+24.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.4	42	25%	+10.4
Population (ACS)	17,928	80	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	66,287	41	20%	+8.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	26.9	69	30%	+20.7
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (69)

By cuisine

Pizza 10 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 8 · Italian 6 · American 5 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Bar 16 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Airport Seafood & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 Airport Access Rd	open
Alexander's Golden Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · German / Eastern European	6 Sandersdale Rd	open
Blue Max Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	220 Airport Access Rd	open
Bongo's Bar Grill & Sweet's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		12 Crane St	open
Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	485 E Main St	open
Brothers pizza Southbridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	485 Main St	open
Buster's Bark	Dessert	Dessert	20 North St	open
C.F.C Fried Chicken & Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		52 Central St	open
Caffe De Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)		177 Elm St	open
Central Pizza & Pub Central Pizza & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	55 Central St	open
Corinthian Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	84 Worcester St	open
Corner Pocket Cafe	Bar		16 Central St	open
Crown Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	45 Hamilton St	open
Dark Horse Tavern	Bar		12 Crane St	open
Delicia's restaurant & bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Latin American (other) · Dessert	26 Central St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	825 Main Street	open
Dr. Hernandez's International Food Trailer & Bar Catering, LLC	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Italian	1 Hill St	open
Dream Pizza & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	78 Pleasant St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	386 E Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	419-423 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	736 Worcester St	open
Dynasty	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	344 Main St	open
Elm Centre Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	39 Elm St	open
Empire Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	846 Main St	open
Fedele's Coffee Shop and Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13 Central St	open
Fedeles Coffee Shoppe & Restaurant, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 Central St	open
Fins & Tales	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Steakhouse	858 Main St	open
Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	357 Main St	open
Great Oak Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	922 Main St	open
Guaguancó Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Caribbean	12 Crane St	open
Happy Dog Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	276 South St	open
Honest Town Eats	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		13 Central St	open
International Club	Bar		219 Everett St	open
Johnny Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	256 Main St	open
Lazo's Cafe	Bar		7 Mill St	open
Maqui's Bar & Function Hall	Bar		61 Chestnut St	open
Margaux's Deli	Other	Sandwiches	33 Crystal St	open
Mario's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	52 Central St	open
May Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	920 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	515 E Main St	open
Melissa Flaherty Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	61 Arland Dr	open
Moon Magick Cafe By Chey LLC	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	210 Hamilton St	open
Panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian	102 Mechanic St	open
Pizza Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	85 Hamilton St	open
Scoops of Hope	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	54 Foster St	open
Shades Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 Mechanic St	open
Shawn's Sand Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	131 Elm St	open
Simon Says, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		85 Hamilton St	open
South9Foodtruck	Food truck · Quick service	Burgers	6 Larochelle Way	open
Southbridge Mcdonalds	Quick service			open
Southbridge Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	177 Elm St	open
Starlite	Bar		39 Hamilton St	open
Sturbridge Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	210 Hamilton St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	176 Main St Suite 300	open
Superior Cake Products	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	94 Ashland Ave	open
Tapioca Dreams	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	343 Main St	open
Taqueria La Siguanaba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	52 Central Street	open
Thai Orchid	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	90 Charlton St	open
The Burrito Hut	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	936 Main St	open
The Cereal Cow Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	33 Crystal St	open
The Dark Horse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		12 Crane St	open
The Flight Deck at Southbridge Airport	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 Airport Access Rd	open
The Lounge	Bar		11 Pleasant St	open
The Metro Bistrot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	176 Main St	open
The Ross Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		393 Eastford Rd	open
Yasmeen Food Service Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Hamilton St Ste 3	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	505 E Main St	open
Zoe's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	289 Main St	open
Red Baron Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	220 Airport Access Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	31	23	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	26	20	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	31	23	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	31	26	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	31	23	11	11	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	36	26	15	10	1	7	NAICS1997
2000	34	22	11	10	1	11	NAICS1997
2001	32	21	11	8	2	10	NAICS1997
2002	32	22	13	8	1	9	NAICS1997
2003	33	22	12	10	—	8	NAICS2002
2004	29	19	9	10	—	8	NAICS2002
2005	30	19	10	9	—	9	NAICS2002
2006	28	20	9	9	2	6	NAICS2002
2007	32	23	11	9	3	7	NAICS2002
2008	37	28	13	9	6	6	NAICS2007
2009	31	23	15	5	3	5	NAICS2007
2010	32	23	15	5	3	4	NAICS2007
2011	34	24	15	6	3	4	NAICS2007
2012	32	24	18	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	36	26	15	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	36	27	15	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	30	26	13	9	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	30	24	12	8	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	34	30	14	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	30	14	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	30	13	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	27	13	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	29	14	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	32	27	13	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	39	33	17	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01550. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01566	3.8 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.