BMIE Market 01776
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,270 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,659 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,951 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $236,509 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,423 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±673 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $988,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,992 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 24.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01776 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +30.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +47.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +126.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 29–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01776. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.6 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.6 | 70 | 35% | +24.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 73.5 | 74 | 25% | +18.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,270 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 236,509 | 99 | 40% | +39.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,279 | 78 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.4 | 64 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.6 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,270 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 236,509 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 30.8 | 84 | 50% | +41.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.4 | 64 | 30% | +19.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 47.8 | 62 | 20% | +12.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · Italian 9 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · American 5 · Japanese 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Other 3 · Quick service 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acapulcos Mexican Family Restaurant & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 694 Boston Post Rd | open |
| American Legion Post 191 | Bar | 676 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Bullfinchs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 730 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Chef Peppino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 457 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Chili Basil Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 385 Boston Post Rd | open |
| CJ's Gourmet Pizza and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 29 Hudson Rd | open |
| Classic Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 730 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Clover | Quick service | 536 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Conrad's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 120 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Csje Enterprises Inc Dba-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 Hudson Rd | open | |
| Da Vinci Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 457 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Debby's Drive-Thru Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 425 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 378 Boston Post Rd | open |
| El Basha Grille and Bar El Basha Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 423 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Franco's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 365 Boston Post Rd #20 | open |
| Fugakyu Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Japanese · Coffee | 621 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Genji | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 528 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Goodnow Farms Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 80 Goodnow Rd | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 29 Hudson Rd | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Sandwiches | 100 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Karma Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 100 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Kiff | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Dessert | Dessert | 365 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Lavender Asian Cuisine & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Asian | 519 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Little Green Coffee Shop | Coffee shop | Coffee | 425 Boston Post Road (Rt 20) | open |
| Lotus Blossom Lotus Blossom | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 394 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Max and Leo's Pizza Sudbury Max and Leo's Pizza Newton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 470 North Rd | open |
| Mooyah Burgers, Fries & Shakes MOOYAH Burgers, Fries & Shakes | Quick service | Burgers · American | 526C Boston Post Rd | open |
| New City Microcreamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 534 Boston Post Rd Ste A | open |
| NIBS | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | open | |
| Oak Barrel Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 528A Boston Post Rd | open |
| Oishii Too Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 365 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Papa Gino's Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 104 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Peet's Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop | Coffee | 534 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Riceberry Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 621 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Rossini's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 418 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Select JY | Café | 19038 Frenchtown Frontage Rd | open | |
| Soul of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 103 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 513 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 421 Boston Post Rd # 437 | open |
| Sudbury Coffee Works | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 15 Union Ave | open |
| Sudbury Espresso | Coffee shop | Coffee | 339 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Sudbury Pizza Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 426 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Sudbury, MA #291 - Meadow Walk Shopping Center Mooyah | Quick service | 526C Boston Post Rd | open | |
| TCS International | Bakery | Bakery | 55 Union Ave | open |
| The Farmer's Daughter | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 534 Boston Post Rd Ste F | open | |
| Twisted Frozen Yogurt | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 410 Boston Post Rd Ste 11 | open |
| Wayside Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 730 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Wholesome Grateful | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 145 North Rd | open |
| Zayith Tapas and Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas · Mediterranean | 621 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Paani Pure Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 621 Boston Post Rd | closed |
| Sobre Mesa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 Hudson Rd Ste 3150 | closed | |
| Steinhauser Inc | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 39 Union Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 31 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 30 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 39 | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |