BMIE Market 01841
Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 52,769 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,620 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 17,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±677 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 47,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 15,506 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $56,971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,734 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $403,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,927 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01841 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +26.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +31.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +111.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 38 (range 32–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01841. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.9 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.4 | 70 | 35% | +24.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 78.8 | 79 | 25% | +19.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 52,769 | 97 | 40% | +39.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,971 | 25 | 40% | +9.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 17,027 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 31.0 | 72 | 35% | +25.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.2 | 84 | 25% | +20.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 52,769 | 97 | 20% | +19.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,971 | 25 | 20% | +4.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 26.7 | 82 | 50% | +40.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 31.0 | 72 | 30% | +21.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
Latin American (other) 17 · Caribbean 10 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 9 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 7 · American 6 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Bar 14 · Bakery 10 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 67 Jackson St | open |
| Alan's Ice Cream & Fruit Stand | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 32 Manchester St | open |
| Alex's House of Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 311 E Haverhill St | open |
| Areanna's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Sandwiches | 412A Essex St | open |
| Bavarian Club | Bar | 41 Knox St | open | |
| Big Beautiful Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 69 Lawrence St | open |
| Big-N-Beefy | Quick service | Burgers · American | 415 Broadway | open |
| Blanco Arriba Meat Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Bakery | Bakery | 352 Hampshire St | open |
| Bongo's Bar And Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 206 Lawrence St | open | |
| Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 145 Lawrence St | open |
| Carmen’s Bakery. | Bakery | Bakery · Mexican | 48 Trenton St | open |
| Chimi Antojitos Internacionales Truck | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 351 Broadway #331 | open |
| Chocoholics Bakeshop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 342 Broadway | open |
| Colonial Lounge | Bar | 283 Broadway | open | |
| De todo food truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 183 Haverhill St | open |
| Dominicana Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 260 Hampshire St | open |
| Donut Dynasty | Café | Coffee | 342 Broadway | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 123 Lawrence St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 100 Marston St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 342 Broadway | open |
| El Pez Dorado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 676 Essex St | open |
| El Rincon De Kenny | Juice, smoothie, tea | Latin American (other) · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 645 Broadway | open |
| El Tipico Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 147 Lawrence St | open |
| Elaine's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 234 Hampshire St | open |
| Energy Lounge | Bar | 459 Broadway | open | |
| G & Z Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 55 Berkeley St | open |
| Georges Bakery | Bakery · Quick service · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 262 Hampshire St | open |
| GRANDES SANDWICH | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 338 Lawrence St | open |
| Guld Lounge | Bar | 271 Broadway | open | |
| Jackie's Chicken & Beer | Bar | Chicken / wings | 651 Broadway | open |
| Jade Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 368 Broadway | open |
| Joy Empanadas | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 433 Broadway | open |
| Keltic Club | Bar | 233 Lawrence St | open | |
| King N Queen Shop | Bar | 62 Berkeley St | open | |
| La Escosesa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 66 Willow St | open |
| La Esquina del Sabor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 39 Manchester St | open |
| La Nueva Fogata Restaurant La Fogata | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 326 Lowell St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 360 Broadway | open |
| Lopez restaurant & market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 155 Arlington St | open |
| Los 3 Garcia Authentic Mexican Food truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 28 Canal St | open |
| Lucky's Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 480 Haverhill St | open |
| Mamasitas Mexican Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Caribbean | 206 Lawrence St | open |
| Master PizzaTropical | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 394 Broadway | open |
| Mi Mexico Lindo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5 Pleasant Ter | open |
| MultiGrain Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 113 Water St | open |
| Muy Chingon Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 459 Broadway | open |
| Nagua Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 658 Haverhill St | open |
| Natalia’s grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Latin American (other) | 72 Jackson St | open |
| New England Pretzel & Popcorn | Other · Dessert | Dessert | 15 Bay State Rd | open |
| Nuestro Diamante Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 198 Lawrence St | open |
| Ocasion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 116 Stearns Ave | open |
| Panaderia El Chapin | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 265 Broadway | open |
| Peking Garden of Lawrence | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 261 Lawrence St | open |
| Pizza by Ozzie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 394 Broadway | open |
| Pizza Pub | Bar | 233 Lawrence St | open | |
| Pollo Cibao | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 157 Lawrence St | open |
| Pollo Tipico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Latin American (other) | 190 Lawrence St #192 | open |
| Renacer Food Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 71 E Haverhill St | open |
| Restaurante Guatemalteco Sarita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 647 Broadway | open |
| Romeo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 773 Essex St | open |
| rosario y&n inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 190 LAWRENCE St Floor 2 | open |
| Rumba SportsBar /NightClub | Bar | 505 Broadway | open | |
| Samourella Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 639 Broadway | open | |
| Stars Cafe | Buffet | 251 Broadway | open | |
| Sunnyside Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 639 Broadway | open |
| Tacos Lupita - North Lawrence Tacos Lupita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 505 Broadway | open |
| Taqueria Passion Steak Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Steakhouse | 68 Willow St | open |
| The Sandwich Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 338 Lawrence St | open |
| Vizcaya Súper Market & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 200 Broadway | open |
| Wao Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Latin American (other) | 658 Haverhill St | open |
| Yummy Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 385 Lowell St | open |
| Zion Cafe | Café | Coffee | 530 Broadway | open |
| Neel Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 234 Hampshire St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 15 | 12 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 11 | — | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 15 | 10 | — | 10 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 12 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 28 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 30 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 29 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 29 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 33 | 8 | 21 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 33 | 8 | 22 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 30 | 9 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 34 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 18 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 38 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2022 |