BMIE Market 01835
Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,782 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,568 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,682 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,623 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $113,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,852 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $468,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,667 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01835 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -28.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01835. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.0 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.1 | 61 | 35% | +21.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 19.5 | 20 | 25% | +4.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,782 | 76 | 40% | +30.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 113,578 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,568 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.2 | 64 | 25% | +15.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,782 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 113,578 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 50% | +7.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -28 | 10 | 20% | +2.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (45)
By cuisine
American 11 · Bakery 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 3 · Breakfast 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 10 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Other 3 · Bar 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Roast Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 691 S Main St | open |
| Albie D's Second Generation Italian Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 140 S Main St | open |
| Apollo Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 125 S Main St # 7438 | open |
| Ari's Pizza & Subs | Dessert | Pizza · Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 402 S Main St | open |
| Aroma Joe's Coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 727 S Main St | open |
| Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 741 S Main St | open |
| Boston Coffee Cake Company | Dessert | Dessert | 145 Oxford Ave | open |
| Bradford Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 109 S Main St | open |
| Bread Bunny Bakehouse | Bakery | Bakery | 76 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Breakfast Cafe | Café | Coffee | 695 S Main St | open |
| Carbone's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 151 S Main St | open |
| Carter's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 534 Salem St | open |
| Chick's Roast Beef | Other | Sandwiches | 124 S Main St | open |
| Corporate Chefs, Inc. | Café | Coffee | 22 Parkridge Rd | open |
| Duffy's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8 Knipe Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 15 S Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 915 S Main St | open |
| Evenfall Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8 Knipe Rd | open |
| Gourmet House Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 115 S Main St | open |
| Heav'nly Donuts Heav'nly Donuts-Bradford | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 55 S Main St | open |
| Joseph's Trattoria Bakery Cafe Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 145 Oxford Ave | open | |
| Josephs Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 145 Oxford Ave | open |
| Kelly's | Bar | 75 S Main St | open | |
| L & M Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 231 Neck Rd | open |
| Lowe's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert | 145 S Main St | open |
| Mac Daddies and a little more | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 75 S Main St | open |
| Mediterranean Pizza and Roast Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Sandwiches · Pizza | 124 S Main St | open |
| Mi Isla Bakery | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 741 S Main St | open |
| Molestrios' Roast Beef & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 133 Winter St Floor 2 | open |
| Nabisco / Mondelez | Bakery | Bakery | 250 Neck Rd | open |
| New Moon Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Japanese | 701 S Main St | open |
| Nice Ice Baby | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | Washington Square | open |
| Oh! Daddy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 125 S Main St | open |
| Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3 Ferry St | open |
| Pepsi Bottling Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 261 Neck Rd | open | |
| Periwinkle Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 695 S Main St | open | |
| QVC Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Roma Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 29 Middlesex St | open |
| Steampunk Station | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches | 30 Railroad Ave | open |
| Steve's Famous Roast Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 741 S Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 25 Shelley Rd | open |
| Teo's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 695 S Main St | open |
| Village Square Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 109 S Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 39 S Main St | open |
| Lakeview Kitchen Llc | Café | Coffee | 151 S Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |