BMIE Market 01834

Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,639 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,459 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,439 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$141,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,528 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,825 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$610,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,837 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01834
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01834. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.1	77	40%	+30.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.8	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	42.2	42	25%	+10.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,777	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	141,487	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	2,639	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	77	25%	+19.2
Population (ACS)	6,777	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	141,487	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (12)

By cuisine

American 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Groveland Diner	Casual dining	American	1 Elm Park	open
J & S Restaurant Corp Dba-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		904 Salem St	open
Jeff and Maria's Old Fashioned Ice Cream and Food	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	918 Salem St	open
Pat and Cindys Burger Barn	Quick service	Burgers		open
Pizza Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Italian	908 Salem St	open
Pub 97	Bar · Casual dining		935 Salem St	open
Riverside Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	180 Main St	open
Tap Brew Pub & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		100 Washington St	open
Tea Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	904 Salem St	open
Tecate Corona Mexican Kitchen & Sports Bar	Bar	Mexican	8 Elm Park	open
Ultimate Perk Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	921 Salem St	open
Your Place & Ours Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8 Elm Park	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	6	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	3	—	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	9	5	3	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01834. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01833	2.5 mi	13	2023
01830	3.5 mi	60	2023
01835	4.0 mi	18	2023
01985	4.1 mi	2	2016
01921	4.9 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.