BMIE Market 01833

Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,432 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,183 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,044 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$153,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,223 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$653,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,463 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01833
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01833. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.5	79	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.1	77	35%	+27.0
Market Momentum Score	67.4	67	25%	+16.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,432	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	153,750	97	40%	+38.6
Households (ACS)	3,206	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	8,432	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	153,750	97	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	8.3	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Flatbread	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	258 Andover St	open
Best Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	70 W Main St	open
Cafe Sarina	Dessert · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	269 Central St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	66 E Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	66 E Main St #68 Georgetown Plaza	open
Fainting Goat Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	118 E Main St	open
Fat Belly BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	Pond St	open
Georgetown Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		258 Andover St	open
Golden Tea Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	37 W Main St	open
Hatter's Tea Shoppe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	10 E Main St	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · American	103 E Main St	open
Justine's Baked Goods	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10 Charles St	open
Nicolini House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	21 W Main St	open
Niki's Roast Beef & Pizza	Casual dining	Sandwiches · Pizza · American	7 Central St	open
Par 97	Bar		206 W Main St	open
Pentucket "Pop-Up"	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		20 Pentucket Ave	open
Pomodori Georgetown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	42 Central St	open
Richdale	Dessert		67 W Main St	open
Rory O’connors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19 W Main St	open
Spitfire Slice Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7 Central St	open
The Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	19 W Main St	open
Tinn Lizzy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	206 W Main St	open
Udderly Divine	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10-12 E Main St	open
Village Sub & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	14 Central St	open
WE Ice Cream Truck	Food truck		38 Woodland Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	2	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	2	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	—	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	6	1	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	3	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	4	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	4	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01833. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01834	2.5 mi	6	2023
01921	3.7 mi	5	2023
01922	4.1 mi	3	2016
01969	4.9 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.