BMIE Market 01850

Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,476 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,089 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±417 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,237 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,780 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,619 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$390,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01850
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01850. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.8	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.4	52	35%	+18.3
Market Momentum Score	18.1	18	25%	+4.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,740	79	40%	+31.8
Median household income (ACS)	69,780	47	40%	+18.6
Households (ACS)	6,089	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	35%	+7.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.9	81	25%	+20.2
Population (ACS)	17,740	79	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	69,780	47	20%	+9.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	50%	+8.5
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	-6.7	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · African 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bravos Roast Beef & Pizza,	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	1148 Bridge St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1200 Bridge St	open
Cameo Diner	Casual dining	American	715 Lakeview Ave	open
Cathay Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	450 Bridge St	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1148 Bridge St	open
Crown Fried Chicken Crown Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher	813 Lakeview Ave	open
DC Catering	Food truck · Catering	American	755 Lakeview Ave	open
Delicias Paisas Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Latin American (other)	392 Bridge St	open
Domino's, Lakeview Ave. Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	90 Lakeview Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	560 Bridge St	open
Easy Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Foody Goody	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	101 Lakeview Ave	open
Georgio's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	62 Lakeview Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	430 Bridge St	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1 Varnum St	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1235 Bridge Street	open
Pronto Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1148 Bridge St	open
Rourke's Cabana	Bar · Quick service		The Hill	open
Sandwich King/ 361 Bridge street,Lowell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	361 Bridge St	open
Top Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	700 Aiken St	open
Top Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	603 Bridge St	open
Total Power International Inc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		418 Bridge St	open
Vic's Breakfast Subs & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1 Lilley Ave	open
Wham's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	African · Coffee	737 Lakeview Ave	open
Southside Dogs Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	811 Lakeview Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	18	16	4	9	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	3	10	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	19	17	2	11	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	17	3	10	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	4	9	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	17	15	5	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	5	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	4	6	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	18	14	4	8	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	7	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	8	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	16	9	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	21	9	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	17	6	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	16	5	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	18	4	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	18	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	3	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	14	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	—	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	—	8	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01850. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01852	1.6 mi	74	2023
01826	1.6 mi	54	2023
01854	2.3 mi	30	2023
01851	2.6 mi	46	2023
01876	4.9 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.