BMIE Market 01851

Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,403 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,711 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,421 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±547 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,190 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,760 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,401 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,825 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$467,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,939 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01851
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-19.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+64.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	52 (range 43–60) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01851. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.1	84	40%	+33.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.8	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	31.8	32	25%	+7.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,403	91	40%	+36.3
Median household income (ACS)	92,401	75	40%	+30.2
Households (ACS)	11,421	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.8	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	33,403	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	92,401	75	20%	+15.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-19.3	14	50%	+6.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	64.3	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (110)

By cuisine

Asian 25 · American 14 · Coffee 14 · Southeast Asian (other) 13 · Pizza 11 · Dessert 10 · Chinese 9 · Indian 7 · Burgers 5 · Italian 5 · Vietnamese 5 · Bakery 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Thai 3 · Caribbean 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Vegetarian 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 11 · Bar 10 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 9 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
99 Restaurants	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · British / Irish pub food	850 Chelmsford St	open
Banh Mi & Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Vietnamese · Dessert · Asian	1270 Westford St	open
Bella & Ruby	Restaurant (service type not stated)		67 Montview Ave	open
Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	32 Reiss Ave	open
Bonchon Chicken Bonchon Chicken Philippines	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian	1075 Westford St.	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	392 Chelmsford Street	open
Burrito Spice Lowell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	194 Stedman St	open
Captain John's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	333 Westford St	open
Changli Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1590 Middlesex St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Reiss Ave.	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1733 Middlesex St	open
Chuck's Variety	Restaurant (service type not stated)		641 School St	open
Clarekt Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		225 Stedman St Ste 41	open
Craft Food Halls - Cross Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Chelmsford St	open
Dalat Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	475 Chelmsford St	open
Dessert Shop & Bakery	Dessert · Catering · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	32 Branch St #2	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	374 Chelmsford St	open
Donut Shack	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	487 Westford St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	980 Chelmsford St Mobil Gas Station	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	443 Chelmsford St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1505 Middlesex St	open
Egan Tiki Bar	Bar		167 Stevens St	open
El Bunker Cafecitos & Juguitos	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	16 Branch St	open
Elephant Angkor Cafe	Café	Coffee	61 Plain St	open
Gallant, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		225 Stedman St Ste 1	open
Golden House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	426 Chelmsford St	open
Gong Cha Lowell Gong Cha	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1290 Westford St	open
Goodies grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	194 Stedman St	open
Heng Heng Asian Fast Food	Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Asian · Tea / bubble tea	32 Branch St #4	open
Heng Lay Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	153 Liberty St	open
Highland's Pizza & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood · Sandwiches	1290 Westford St	open
Honest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	21 Wood St	open
Honest Restaurant Lowell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	21 Wood St	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	1740 Middlesex St	open
Hong Cuc Grand Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	11 Grand St	open
Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	308 Westford St	open
Hunter's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		194 Stedman St	open
Indian Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1270 Westford St	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	26 Reiss Ave.	open
Jefferson Silva	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1334 Middlesex St	open
Jimmy's Pizza Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	480 Chelmsford St	open
JP Caribbean Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	1317 Middlesex St	open
Kao's Kitchen	Juice, smoothie, tea	Southeast Asian (other) · Juice / smoothies · Asian	426 Chelmsford St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1720 Middlesex Street	open
Kim's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	56 Branch St	open
La Pradera Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		42 Columbus Ave	open
La Pradera Bar & Grill	Bar	Mexican	1717 Middlesex St	open
Le Petit Cafe	Café	Southeast Asian (other) · Coffee · Asian	660 Middlesex St	open
Lowell Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other)	6 Branch St	open
Mandarin Lowell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1590 Middlesex St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	66 Plain St	open
Mill City Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	494 Westford St	open
Navigation Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		122 Western Ave	open
Nibbāna Café	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	122 Western Ave	open
Olympic Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other)	454 Chelmsford St	open
Omkar Pure Vegetarian Indian	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1717 Middlesex St	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	28 Reiss Ave	open
P & D Indian Fast Food	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1717 Middlesex St	open
Pad Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	1527 Middlesex St #7	open
Pailin City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6 Branch St	open
Pailin Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	16 Branch St	open
Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21 Wood Street, Middlesex Plaza	open
Paradise Biryani Pointe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1689 Middlesex St	open
Peephuptmei Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	278 Branch St	open
Phnom Penh Restaurant Phnom Penh Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	309 Westford St	open
Pho 88 Pho 88 Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1270 Westford St	open
Pho DaLat Restaurant Pho Dalat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1575 Middlesex St	open
Pit Stop	Food truck · Quick service		309 Chelmsford St	open
Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1740 Middlesex St	open
Platinos Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other)	1717 Middlesex St	open
Priya Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1270 Westford St	open
Queens Pizza Queen's Pizza Augsburg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	287 Chelmsford St	open
RahRah's Jerky	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop		1317 Middlesex St	open
Rave Bae Eats	Catering · Delivery-focused	Seafood		open
Red Rose Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	716 Middlesex St	open
Sabor Boricua Kitchen	Food truck	Caribbean	117 Chelmsford St	open
Sazon Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	32 Westford St	open
Sen Monorom Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other)	1671 Middlesex St	open
Sergeant Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1671 Middlesex St	open
Shiv Shakti Chaat and Paan Adda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1740 Middlesex St	open
Shris Bakery & Snacks	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1270 Westford St Unit A	open
Simply Khmer Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	26 Lincoln St	open
Snowdaes	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Dessert	1075 Westford St	open
Sompao Meas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	450 Chelmsford St	open
Star Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	724 Chelmsford St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	900 Chelmsford St	open
Studio Milk Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	12 Wood St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	424 Chelmsford St	open
Sugoi sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	Chelmsford St, Lowell, MA 01851, United States	open
Sunny Da Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Southeast Asian (other)	454 Chelmsford St	open
Tavern in the Square	Casual dining · Bar	American	900 Chelmsford St	open
Tepthida Khmer Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	115 Chelmsford St	open
The Anime Cafe	Café	Coffee	122 Western Ave	open
The Gibson Street Experience	Bar		261 Gibson St	open
Tiger Dang Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		475 Chelmsford St	open
Tiny Arms Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	122 Western Ave	open
Two55club	Casual dining · Bar		255 Chelmsford St	open
Udupi Bhavan Lowell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Indian · Asian · Vegetarian	1717 Middlesex St, Unit	open
Veggie Crust Lowell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1740 Middlesex St	open
Viet Tastes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	475 Chelmsford St	open
Wah Sang Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	457 Chelmsford St	open
Wee Thai Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	249 Chelmsford St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	436 Chelmsford St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1460 Middlesex Street	open
Wood Street Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Wood St	open
WTF hotpot & bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	255 Chelmsford St	open
Yummy Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Chinese · Asian	21 Branch St	open
Zabb Elee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	586 Westford St	open
Zoom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	30 Pine St, Lowell, MA 01851	open
Szechuan Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1590 Middlesex St # 1149	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	28	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	28	25	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	35	31	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	32	27	11	14	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	32	26	10	13	3	5	NAICS1997
2000	32	27	8	15	4	4	NAICS1997
2001	32	27	9	15	3	4	NAICS1997
2002	39	29	11	14	4	6	NAICS1997
2003	34	28	10	14	4	4	NAICS2002
2004	42	36	13	18	5	4	NAICS2002
2005	43	36	16	16	4	3	NAICS2002
2006	40	35	16	16	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	40	37	18	16	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	43	40	22	13	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	38	35	19	11	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	42	38	21	11	6	—	NAICS2007
2011	42	37	17	14	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	54	47	22	16	9	1	NAICS2012
2013	49	46	22	16	8	—	NAICS2012
2014	52	49	24	17	8	—	NAICS2012
2015	56	52	26	18	8	—	NAICS2012
2016	59	55	25	21	9	—	NAICS2012
2017	58	52	21	23	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	63	57	26	23	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	63	56	26	23	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	59	53	24	20	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	61	56	28	21	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	52	46	24	19	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	53	46	28	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01851. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01854	1.6 mi	30	2023
01852	2.1 mi	74	2023
01850	2.6 mi	14	2023
01824	2.7 mi	58	2023
01863	3.1 mi	10	2023
01862	4.0 mi	24	2023
01826	4.0 mi	54	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.