BMIE Market 01879
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,550 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,232 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,305 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,213 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $129,348 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,405 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $552,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,742 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01879 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +36.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -3.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 15–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01879. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.1 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.6 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 62.9 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,550 | 74 | 40% | +29.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 129,348 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,232 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.3 | 53 | 35% | +18.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.7 | 35 | 25% | +8.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,550 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 129,348 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 36.8 | 87 | 50% | +43.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.3 | 53 | 30% | +15.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -3.7 | 19 | 20% | +3.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
Pizza 13 · American 7 · Italian 7 · Dessert 6 · Asian 4 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 266 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Angela's Coal Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 361 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Bawarchi Biryanis | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 18 Pondview Pl Unit 24 | open |
| Bianco's Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 90 Progress Ave | open | |
| Big Al's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 266 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Bittersweet Bake Shoppe | Bakery | Bakery | 9 Kendall Rd | open |
| Boston Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 315 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Brothers Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 92 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Caffe Il Cipresso | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 130 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 386 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Cazadores Restaurante Mexicano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 130 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Choice Indian Restaurant - Pure Vegetarian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Vegetarian | 440 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Club Fleur-De-Lis | Bar | 39 Elm St | open | |
| Comets Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 22 Westford Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 161 Westford Rd | open |
| Dracut Food Service Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Parham Rd | open | |
| Dream Diner | Casual dining | American | 384 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Dulce Diana | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Bakery | 12 Audrey Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 95 Westford Road #97 Mobil Gas Station | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 440 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Epigram Brew Co. | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 394 Middlesex Rd | open | |
| Feng Shui Kitchen Feng Shui Hibachi Sushi Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 150 Westford Rd | open |
| Flint's Corner Pizza & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Seafood | 150 Westford Rd | open |
| Henry’s World Famous Guitar Lounge | Bar | 86 Windemere Cir | open | |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 81 Westford Rd | open |
| Honeybound Meadery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Locust Ave | open | |
| La Santa Tacos and Tequilas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 386 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Lake East Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 240 Lakeview Ave | open |
| Lakeside Pizza & Seafood /fishing area | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Seafood | 21-24 Parham Rd | open |
| Left Bank | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 160 Pawtucket Blvd | open |
| Mario's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 92 Middlesex Rd | open |
| MAVE's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 130 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Modest Roots Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 45 Middlesex Rd | open | |
| Olive Garden Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 422 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Olympic Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 240 Lakeview Ave | open |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 440 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Pasha Cafe & Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 160 Pawtucket Blvd | open | |
| Pino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 160 Pawtucket Blvd | open |
| Potash Hill Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 500 Potash Hill Rd | open | |
| Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 431 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Roache Breweries | Brewery / taproom | 6 Descheneaux Ln | open | |
| Sandbar Beach Club and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 39 Elm St | open |
| Short and Sweet Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 500 Potash Hill Rd | open |
| Sullivan Farms Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 176 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Tavern In The Square | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 440 Middlesex Rd | open | |
| Thai Delicacy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 18 Pondview Pl | open |
| Thai Elephant Thai Elephant Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 130 Middlesex Rd | open |
| The Burger Experience | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings · BBQ · Burgers | 431 Middlesex Rd., Located in Smokey Bones | open |
| The Vault | Bar | 160 Pawtucket Blvd | open | |
| Thirsty's | Casual dining · Bar | 25 Parham Rd | open | |
| TreMonte Pizzeria Restaurant and Ale House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 361 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Twist By Heidy | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee · Breakfast | 168 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Tyngsboro Pizza & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 266 Middlesex Rd | open |
| Bahama Breeze | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 413 Middlesex Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 16 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 17 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 24 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 32 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |