BMIE Market 02631

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,061 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,549 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,679 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,838 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,012 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	60.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,589 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$700,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02631
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02631. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.8	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.5	60	35%	+21.2
Market Momentum Score	38.3	38	25%	+9.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,061	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	102,132	82	40%	+32.9
Households (ACS)	4,549	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.9	35	25%	+8.8
Population (ACS)	10,061	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	102,132	82	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.6	23	50%	+11.6
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 11 · Seafood 7 · Dessert 6 · Breakfast 5 · Coffee 5 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Brewster Coffee Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2149 Main St	open
Brewster El Patron Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2377 Main St # 156	open
Brewster Pizza House	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	2655 Main St	open
Brewster Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1929 MA-6A	open
Brewster Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	1069 Main St	open
Brown Dog Investments, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3668 Main St	open
Cafe Alfresco	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1097 Main St	open
Caprino's Peppers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1097 Main St	open
Chillingsworth Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · French	2449 Main St	open
Cobies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	3260 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	15 Lower Rd	open
Eat Cake 4 Breakfast	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast	26 Wampum Dr	open
Freemans Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1000 Freemans Way	open
Hopkins House Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2727 Main St	open
JT's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2689 Main St	open
Karma Foods	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2628 Main St	open
Kate's Fried Seafood & Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	284 Paine's Creek Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		2639 Main St	open
Laurino's Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood · American	3668 Main St	open
Lily & Kappa	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	2624 Main St	open
OKI Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2655 Main St	open
Patisserie Ever After	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	67 Park Ln	open
Picos Taco Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	239 Underpass Rd	open
Shark Bah	Bar · Casual dining		50 Endicott Ln	open
Snowy Owl Coffee House Snowy Owl Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2624 Main St	open
Spinnaker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	2019 Main St	open
Szechuan Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1421 Long Pond Rd	open
The Beach Bar at Ocean Edge	Bar · Casual dining			open
The Beach Bar Ocean Edge Resort Brewster MA	Casual dining · Bar		2907 Main St	open
The Brewster Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	2208 Main St	open
The Brewster VFW POST 9917	Bar		989 Freemans Way	open
The cape house	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	284 Paines Creek Rd	open
The Island Blue Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2377 Main St	open
The Kitchen Cafe Brewster	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	2671 Main St	open
The Peacemaker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2149 Main St	open
The Roscommon Room at Ocean Edge Resort	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse · American	2907 Main St	open
Ukiyo Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2628 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	24	23	12	8	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	22	20	10	7	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	21	20	10	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	23	22	12	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	17	9	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	20	9	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	18	9	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	26	21	11	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	27	20	7	10	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	24	20	9	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	24	20	9	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	25	20	9	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	26	20	9	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	23	19	8	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	25	20	9	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	21	9	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	22	10	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	21	10	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	21	10	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	21	11	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02631. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02645	3.2 mi	18	2023
02641	4.6 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.