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BMIE Market 02645

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)11,288
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households5,169
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count9,663
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units6,222
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$104,401
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,746 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age57.3
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent$1,804
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value$648,200
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,509 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area16.9 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants18
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02645
Restaurants per 10,000 residents11.4
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year+63.6%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+38.5%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year+63.6%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+260.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 202817 (range 13–21)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score77 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score77 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score70 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score84 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score77.47740%+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score70.37035%+24.6
Market Momentum Score83.78425%+20.9
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)11,2887340%+29.0
Median household income (ACS)104,4018440%+33.5
Households (ACS)5,1697520%+15.0
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth38.57635%+26.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)16.04925%+12.4
Population (ACS)11,2887320%+14.5
Median household income (ACS)104,4018420%+16.7
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth63.69350%+46.3
10-year restaurant growth38.57630%+22.9
20-year restaurant growth63.67220%+14.4
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Seafood 5 · American 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
400 EastCasual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar1421 Orleans-Harwich Rd #21open
Brax Landing RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)705 Main Stopen
Brenda's Cakes For All OccasionsBakery · DessertBakery · Dessert15 Partridge Lnopen
Dairy QueenRestaurant (service type not stated)Burgers441 Main St # 28open
Depot DogsRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningItalian · Hot dogs · American4 Depot Rdopen
DIVE Dine & DrinkCasual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar986 MA-28open
Dunkin' Dunkin'Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · BakeryCoffee · Dessert173 Pleasant Lake Aveopen
Dunkin' Dunkin'Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Café · BakeryCoffee · Dessert175 Route 137open
First Crush WineryWinery / distillery / taproom527 Main Stopen
George's Pizza HouseRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza564 Main St # MA-28open
Harvest Fine Wines & SpiritsRestaurant (service type not stated)706 Main Stopen
heartoftheseacapecodRestaurant (service type not stated)Seafood · British / Irish pub food1421 Orleans Rdopen
Hen House BakeryBakeryBakery248 Main Stopen
Land Ho HarwichportRestaurant (service type not stated) · Quick serviceSeafood · American429 Rte 28open
LiBAYtionBar · Restaurant (service type not stated)Seafood2173 MA-28open
Murphy-torres LlcRestaurant (service type not stated)1421 Orleans Rdopen
Pleasant Lake Pizza SharkRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza403 Pleasant Lake Aveopen
Red'sRestaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · CaféPizza · Coffee · Sandwiches703 Main Stopen
Ruggie's Breakfast and LunchRestaurant (service type not stated)Breakfast · American707 Main Stopen
StarbucksCoffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)CoffeeSR-137open
Subway SubwayQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)SandwichesOne Auston Rdopen
Szechuan DelightRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese · Asian1421 Orleans-Harwich Rdopen
The HarWitchBakery · Dessert · CaféBakery · Dessert · Coffee86 Old Chatham Rdopen
The Verandahs At Wequassett ResortRestaurant (service type not stated)Seafood2171 Route 28 Head of the Bay Rdopen
Twenty Eight Atlantic at Wequassett ResortRestaurant (service type not stated)open
twenty-eight AtlanticRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · BarSeafood · American · European2173 MA-28open
Twisted Pizza - HarwichRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian181 MA-137open
Uncle JouJou Food TruckFood truckBank Street Beachopen
Upper Crust PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza1421 Orleans Rd Ste 25open
Villa RomaRestaurant (service type not stated)Italian278 Main Stopen
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
199455————SIC1987
199555————SIC1987
199655————SIC1987
199733————SIC1987
19983321——NAICS1997
19995532——NAICS1997
2000652211NAICS1997
2001763121NAICS1997
200213126331NAICS1997
20031111632—NAICS2002
20041312741—NAICS2002
20051211362—NAICS2002
20061110352—NAICS2002
20071312443—NAICS2002
20081413643—NAICS2007
20091312642—NAICS2007
20101111542—NAICS2007
20111010532—NAICS2007
20121212633—NAICS2012
20131313733—NAICS2012
20141313643—NAICS2012
20151616646—NAICS2012
20161312543—NAICS2012
20171411443—NAICS2017
20181311443—NAICS2017
20191614554—NAICS2017
20201716763—NAICS2017
20211514464—NAICS2017
20221614464—NAICS2022
20231818774—NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02645. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
026462.2 mi222023
026592.4 mi42023
026313.2 mi212023
026713.3 mi52023
026334.3 mi282023
026394.5 mi312023
026604.9 mi162023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.