BMIE Market 02639

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,808 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,875 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,567 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,307 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,496 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$514,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73,983 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02639
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	87.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+63.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 28–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02639. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.0	55	40%	+22.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.1	35	35%	+12.3
Market Momentum Score	54.7	55	25%	+13.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,808	56	40%	+22.5
Median household income (ACS)	72,567	51	40%	+20.5
Households (ACS)	1,917	60	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	81.4	5	25%	+1.3
Population (ACS)	3,808	56	20%	+11.2
Median household income (ACS)	72,567	51	20%	+10.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.3	60	50%	+29.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	63.2	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 16 · Seafood 10 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Casual dining 13 · Bar 11 · Dessert 9 · Café 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aunties' Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	671 Main St	open
Beaches Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		421 Old Wharf Rd	open
Bluefins Sushi Bar Chatham.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	513 Route 28	open
Brother's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	608 Main St	open
Buckies Biscotti	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	681 Main St	open
Buckies Biscotti & Bakery Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	681 Main St	open
Bz's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	682 Main St	open
Cape Cones LLC	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1 Gages Ln	open
Chapin's Fish & Chips and Beach Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	228 Lower County Rd	open
Clancy's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Upper County Rd	open
Cleat & Anchor	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	243 Lower County Rd	open
Deep End Cafe' at The Corsair and Cross Rip	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	41 Chase Ave	open
Dennisport House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	481 Main St	open
Dennisport Lobster Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Rte 134	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	Rr 28	open
Holy Cow Ice Cream Cafe Holy Cow Ice Cream Cafe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	671 Main St	open
Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	31 Main St	open
Jack's 28 Club	Bar		498 Main St	open
Joey's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	197 Lower County Rd	open
Knockout Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	682 Main St	open
LaScala Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	106 Depot St	open
Luna Mochi	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	48 Edwards Ave	open
LUNE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	587 MA-28	open
Mid Cape Happenings	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Ocean House Restaurant Ocean House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	Depot St	open
One Stop Cafe & Market	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	168 Lower County Rd	open
Porcaro's Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	238 Lower County Rd	open
R and C’s Ice Cream N’ More	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Seafood	82 Ocean Dr	open
Red Nun Dennis Port	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	673 Main St	open
Sand Dollar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	244 Lower County Rd	open
Sea Street Beach Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Sea St	open
Seven Seas	Café · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	451 Main St	open
Southside Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	244 Lower County Rd	open
Stage Stop Candy	Dessert	Dessert	411 Main St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	49 Main Street	open
Sundae School Ice Cream Sundae School	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	381 Lower County Rd	open
Swan River Seafood Restaurant Swan River Restaurant & Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5 Lower County Rd	open
Thai Ocha Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	613 Main St	open
The Backyard by Foley's	Bar		645 Main St	open
The Den Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	697 Main St	open
The DogHouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	189 Lower County Rd	open
The Ebb Tide Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	94 Chase Ave	open
The Improper Bostonian	Bar		626 Main St	open
The Original Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	527 Main St	open
The Oyster Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	202 Depot St	open
The Restaurant and Pub Next Door	Casual dining · Bar		605 Main St	open
The Royal Royal Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	374 Lower County Rd	open
The Sailing Cow	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	170 Old Wharf Rd	open
The Wooden Shoe	Bar	American	419 Lower County Rd	open
Wee Packet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		79 Depot St	open
What's The Scoop Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	193 Shad Hole Rd	open
Woolfie's Coffee and Breakfast Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	279 Lower County Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	21	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	25	20	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	30	25	13	8	4	5	NAICS1997
1999	30	25	14	7	4	5	NAICS1997
2000	29	24	13	7	4	5	NAICS1997
2001	27	22	11	7	4	5	NAICS1997
2002	29	23	12	7	4	6	NAICS1997
2003	28	19	10	5	4	9	NAICS2002
2004	26	18	8	5	5	8	NAICS2002
2005	30	23	12	5	6	7	NAICS2002
2006	24	17	9	4	4	7	NAICS2002
2007	30	23	15	4	4	6	NAICS2002
2008	30	26	16	5	5	4	NAICS2007
2009	27	23	15	4	4	4	NAICS2007
2010	27	25	15	4	6	2	NAICS2007
2011	29	27	18	4	5	2	NAICS2007
2012	32	29	19	5	5	3	NAICS2012
2013	33	31	18	6	7	2	NAICS2012
2014	32	30	18	5	7	2	NAICS2012
2015	33	30	18	5	7	3	NAICS2012
2016	32	29	17	5	7	3	NAICS2012
2017	35	32	20	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	30	19	5	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	31	19	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	29	17	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	29	17	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	32	30	18	7	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	31	19	8	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02639. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02671	1.3 mi	5	2023
02670	1.8 mi	12	2023
02660	3.0 mi	16	2023
02664	3.0 mi	29	2023
02646	3.4 mi	22	2023
02645	4.5 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.