BMIE Market 02664

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±905 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,371 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,062 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,832 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$551,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,076 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02664
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	40.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-29.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-19.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 21–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.1 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02664. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.9	69	40%	+27.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.9	36	35%	+12.6
Market Momentum Score	12.9	13	25%	+3.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,949	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	82,125	65	40%	+25.9
Households (ACS)	4,774	74	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-29.3	10	35%	+3.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	29.2	21	25%	+5.2
Population (ACS)	9,949	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	82,125	65	20%	+13.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.7	16	50%	+7.8
10-year restaurant growth	-29.3	10	30%	+3.0
20-year restaurant growth	-27.5	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (75)

By cuisine

American 13 · Dessert 12 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Italian 8 · Bakery 6 · Seafood 6 · Breakfast 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Caribbean 3 · Asian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Dessert 16 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Bros Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	183 N Main St	open
908 Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		908 MA-28	open
Andrea's West Yarmouth Fish and Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	679 MA-28	open
Ardeo Mediterranean Taverna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	23 Whites Path	open
B&amp I Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1311 Route 28	open
Bass River Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1311 Ma-28	open
Beach Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	46 South St	open
Blondie's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	928 Massachusetts 28	open
Blue Rock Club Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		39 Todd Rd	open
Burger Queen	Quick service	Burgers · American	1297 MA-28	open
Caffe Gelato Bertini	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	1196 RT-28	open
Candy Co.	Dessert		975 Route 28	open
Cape Cod Creamery Cape Cod Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5 Theater Colony Rd	open
Cape Cod Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches	1126 Route 28	open
Cape Cod Salt Water Taffy	Dessert		984 Main St	open
Carluccios Italian Specialties	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	16 N Main St	open
CBPB (Chicken, Burrito, Pizza, Bowls)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	16 N Main St	open
Christopher's Ribs and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		769 Route 28	open
Clifford Well Drilling	Restaurant (service type not stated)		65 Blue Rock Rd # 1303	open
Craigville Pizza & Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1077 Route 28	open
Crazy Rooster Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1329 Main St	open
Cuisine Creole Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	845 MA-28	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1297 Main St	open
D.C. Porcelli's Pizzeria & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	731 MA-28	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	917 RT-28	open
Diner Route 28	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	928 MA-28, South Yarmouth, MA 02664	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	484 Station Avenue	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	436 Station Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1050 RT-28	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	1353 Route 28 Speedway	open
F and L Pizza Cafe 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1076 MA-28	open
Four Seasons Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1077 Route 28	open
Gerardi's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	902 Route 28	open
Gerardis Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	237 N Main St	open
Great Island Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	46 South St	open
Hearth 'n Kettle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1196 MA-28	open
Herbivore Patisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Vegetarian · Dessert	474 Station Ave B	open
Irish Village Restaurant & Resort Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		822 Route 28	open
Irish Village Restaurant& Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		28 Rita Ave	open
JoMama's NY Bagels & Coffeehouse	Café	Coffee	845 MA-28 #6	open
Joy’s International Grill and Cafe	Café	Caribbean · Coffee · American	1300 RT-28	open
Kinlor Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	1323 RT-28	open
Lil Caboose Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Dessert	1279 Route 28	open
Longfellow's Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	182 Old Town House Rd	open
Love, April	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	474 Station Ave	open
Mac Daddy’s Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	928 MA-28	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1060 Rt 28	open
Moose Lodge	Bar		769 Route 28	open
Olympia Restaurant & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Breakfast · American	1341 MA-28	open
Papa Gino's Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	940 Main St	open
Perry's Last Stand	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Pizza · Dessert	321 Whites Path	open
Perry's Last Stand Yarmouth	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
Piccadilly Cafe & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1105 Route 28	open
Riverway Lobster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1338 Massachusetts 28	open
Rope's End	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	908 Route 28	open
Route Twenty Eight Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Thai	928 Route 28	open
Scapicchio's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Pizza · Dessert	941 RT-28	open
Sea Dog Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	23 Whites Path S	open
Sea Dog Cape Cod Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		23 Whites Path	open
Seafood Sam's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1006 MA-28	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12 Whites Path	open
Sweet Roots Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	87 N Main St	open
Sweet Tomatoes Pizza Sweet Tomatoes Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	461 Station Ave	open
Tavern 731	Bar		731 Main St	open
The Grille at Bass River & Bayberry Hills Golf Course	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	62 Highbank Rd	open
The Jerk Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1319a Route 28	open
The Pancake Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	952 Main St	open
The Skipper Restaurant and Chowder House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	152 S Shore Dr	open
Thuan Loi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1300 RT-28	open
Tolys House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1020 RT-28	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	32 Old Town House Rd	open
Wind Jammer West	Restaurant (service type not stated)		192 S Shore Dr	open
Wok-N-Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1319 RT-28	open
Mo's Place	Casual dining	American	1076 Route 28	closed
Robin's Toffee By The Sea	Dessert		12 Whites Path	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	36	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	37	35	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	41	39	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	44	41	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	43	41	21	13	7	2	NAICS1997
1999	43	42	20	15	7	1	NAICS1997
2000	41	38	21	13	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	39	37	20	11	6	1	NAICS1997
2002	41	40	22	12	6	1	NAICS1997
2003	41	40	22	13	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	39	38	23	10	5	1	NAICS2002
2005	41	40	22	12	5	1	NAICS2002
2006	45	45	21	17	6	—	NAICS2002
2007	39	39	19	15	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	42	41	20	13	8	1	NAICS2007
2009	42	41	21	13	7	1	NAICS2007
2010	39	38	17	14	7	1	NAICS2007
2011	40	39	17	14	8	1	NAICS2007
2012	44	43	19	16	8	—	NAICS2012
2013	41	41	17	16	8	—	NAICS2012
2014	42	42	20	15	7	—	NAICS2012
2015	41	41	17	16	8	—	NAICS2012
2016	43	42	19	16	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	38	37	17	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	34	16	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	38	38	18	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	38	37	19	11	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	37	18	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	33	14	12	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	29	11	13	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02664. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02670	1.6 mi	12	2023
02675	2.8 mi	11	2023
02639	3.0 mi	31	2023
02660	3.0 mi	16	2023
02673	3.1 mi	25	2023
02638	3.8 mi	15	2023
02671	4.3 mi	5	2023
02637	4.5 mi	1	2006

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.