BMIE Market 02675

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,398 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,577 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,040 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,450 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,562 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	58.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,954 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$607,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,077 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02675
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02675. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.9	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.4	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	16.4	16	25%	+4.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,297	66	40%	+26.4
Median household income (ACS)	110,450	87	40%	+34.7
Households (ACS)	3,398	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-26.7	11	35%	+3.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	7,297	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	110,450	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	-26.7	11	30%	+3.2
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 8 · Italian 5 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1696corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		223 Route 6A	open
A. B. Pizza Ii, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		715 Route 6a # Route6a	open
Abbicci Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43 Route 6A	open
Amari Bar & Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	674 Main St	open
Anthony's Cummaquid Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2 Route 6A	open
Ardeo Grill At Kingsway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	81 Kings Circuit	open
Cape Flats Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	559 MA-6A	open
Golden Jalapeno Tex Mex Yarmouth Port	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	134 MA-6A	open
Grill 43	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	43 Route 6A	open
Hallet's Store	Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	139 Route 6A	open
Happy Fish Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	173 Route 6A	open
IL Montebello Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	81 Kings Circuit	open
Inaho Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	157 Main St	open
Jack's Outback Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	161 Route 6A	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	447 Route 6A	open
Leonessa	Bar	Italian	43 Main St	open
Lighthouse Keeper's Pantry	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Sandwiches · Bakery	173 Main St	open
Old Yarmouth Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	223 Route 6A	open
Oliver's & Planck's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	960 Main Street	open
Primavera ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	43 route 6a	open
R C's Cape Cod Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	918 MA-6A	open
Royal II Restaurant and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · Mediterranean	715 Main St	open
The Optimist Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	134 Route 6A	open
Yarmouth Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	559 Route 6A	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	7	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	8	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	8	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	6	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	6	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	8	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	7	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	7	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	8	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	7	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	15	7	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	15	8	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	9	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	15	10	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	9	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02675. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02637	2.0 mi	1	2006
02638	2.5 mi	15	2023
02664	2.8 mi	29	2023
02673	3.6 mi	25	2023
02660	3.9 mi	16	2023
02630	4.2 mi	5	2023
02601	4.3 mi	120	2023
02670	4.4 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.