BMIE Market 02670

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,087 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±244 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,307 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,330 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$87,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,755 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	67.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,594 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$714,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±94,679 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02670
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	84.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02670. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.2	50	40%	+20.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.8	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	63.2	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,087	33	40%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	87,019	70	40%	+28.1
Households (ACS)	724	43	20%	+8.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	110.4	4	25%	+0.9
Population (ACS)	1,087	33	20%	+6.7
Median household income (ACS)	87,019	70	20%	+14.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 7 · Breakfast 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Café 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ardeo Cafe & Catering	Café	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Coffee	581 Main St	open
Austin's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	394 Main St Unit 3	open
Beaches & Cream	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	351 MA-28	open
Cape Delice	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	231 MA-28	open
Captain Baker Donut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	485 Main St	open
Clean Slate Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	702 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	927 Main St	open
Eggs Too Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		675 Route 28	open
Good Friends Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	83 School St	open
Harbor Fox Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	160 MA-28	open
Holly's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	882 Main St	open
Ice Cream Rainbow 19 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		231 Main St	open
Kream N Kone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	961 Main St	open
Krista K's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	882 Main St	open
La Tacodilla	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	702 RT-28	open
Moonfish Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	369 Main St	open
O'Shea's Olde Inne	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	348 Main St	open
Paradise Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	74 School St	open
Sand Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		33 Lighthouse Rd	open
Summer Shanty	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	140 Main St	open
Sundancer's Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	116 Main St	open
TD's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	964 Main St	open
The Breakfast Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	675 Main St	open
The House Of Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	231 Main St	open
Three Fins Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	581 Main St	open
Waterfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Lighthouse Inn Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	18	15	7	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	11	8	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	8	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	8	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	8	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	6	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	5	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	5	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	4	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	5	3	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	5	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02670. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02664	1.6 mi	29	2023
02639	1.8 mi	31	2023
02671	3.2 mi	5	2023
02660	3.4 mi	16	2023
02673	4.0 mi	25	2023
02675	4.4 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.