BMIE Market 02673

Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,594 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,038 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,402 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,677 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,854 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,843 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,463 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±186 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$502,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02673
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	31.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+19.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-21.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+38.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02673. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.0	63	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.4	51	35%	+18.0
Market Momentum Score	54.2	54	25%	+13.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,594	69	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	73,854	53	40%	+21.3
Households (ACS)	4,038	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	19.1	62	35%	+21.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	29.1	21	25%	+5.3
Population (ACS)	8,594	69	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	73,854	53	20%	+10.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.7	66	50%	+33.0
10-year restaurant growth	19.1	62	30%	+18.7
20-year restaurant growth	-21.9	13	20%	+2.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 14 · Seafood 6 · Breakfast 5 · British / Irish pub food 4 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · European 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
99 Restaurants 99 Restaurants	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	14 Berry Ave	open
Acapulcos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	416 Route 28	open
Ann & Fran's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	471 RT-28	open
Bagels & Beyond	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	311 RT-28	open
Basil Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Asian · Thai · Healthy / salads / bowls	594 Rte 28	open
Black Sheep Bah & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · British / Irish pub food	42 Bradford Rd	open
Buenos Aires Bakery and Supermarket	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other)	80 MA-28	open
Burger King	Quick service		464 Route 28	open
Cape Cod Restaurants Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Cape Cod Super Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	228 Route 28	open
Captain Parker's Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	668 MA-28	open
Christopher's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	335 Route 28	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	464 RT-28	open
Dunkin Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	526 Rte 28 Main St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	16 E Main St	open
El Mariachi Mexican Restaurant Acapulcos Mexican Family Restaurant & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	416 RT-28	open
Emerson Na Training School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		657 Route 28	open
Englewood Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	572 Route 28	open
Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	438 Route 28	open
Giardino's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	242 Route 28	open
Golden Boy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		80 Main St	open
Grand Cafe Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		80 Route 28	open
Heavenly Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	194 RT-28	open
Helen's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18 Baxter Ave	open
Jacqueline's on Twenty-Eight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	175 MA-28	open
Jerry's Seafood & Dairy Freeze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	654 Route 28	open
Keltic Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · European · Breakfast	415 RT-28	open
Keshar Indian Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		476 MA-28	open
Lobster Boat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	681 RT-28	open
Old Kings Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	44 RT-28	open
Penguins Ice Cream Igl	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	519 Route 28	open
Reliable Fence Co. of Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	546 Higgins Crowell Rd #B	open
Rice Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	645 Route 28	open
Rourkes Top Of The Cove Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		183 Route 28	open
Saga Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	517 MA-28	open
Salty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	540 Route 28	open
Scally's Irish Ale House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	585 Main St	open
Shark Bites Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	518 MA-28 Bldg 2	open
Sons of Erin Cape Cod Inc	Bar	British / Irish pub food	633 RT-28	open
Subway	Quick service		441 Route 28	open
Summer Shanty	Bar	Seafood	Base River	open
Sunny Side Down	Food truck	Breakfast · American	471 MA-28	open
Takis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	547 RT-28	open
The Corndog Company Cape Cod	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Casual dining	American	511 MA-28	open
The Loft Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	183 Main St	open
The One Roast Beef & Pizzeria	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Pizza	457 Route 28	open
Timmy's Roast Beef	Other	Sandwiches	198 Route 28	open
Trs Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		198 Route 28	open
Tugboats at Hyannis Marina	Bar		11 Arlington St	open
Yarmouth House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	335 MA-28	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	27	24	14	7	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	28	25	15	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	29	25	17	5	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	33	30	18	7	5	2	NAICS1997
2002	34	30	22	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	36	32	22	7	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	38	35	24	7	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	36	34	21	8	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	34	31	18	7	5	2	NAICS2002
2007	29	27	17	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	29	27	16	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	29	27	16	6	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	27	26	16	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	28	27	17	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	28	26	17	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	23	21	13	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	26	23	15	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	25	22	14	3	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	26	24	15	5	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	27	25	15	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	14	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	25	14	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	16	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	24	13	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	25	15	4	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	25	17	3	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02673. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02601	2.4 mi	120	2023
02664	3.1 mi	29	2023
02647	3.6 mi	1	2016
02675	3.6 mi	11	2023
02672	3.6 mi	1	2005
02637	3.8 mi	1	2006
02670	4.0 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.