BMIE Market 02649
Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,384 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,135 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,006 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,887 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $95,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,932 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 55.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,776 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $562,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,913 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 23.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02649 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 25.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +18.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +51.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 34–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02649. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.8 | 78 | 40% | +31.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.2 | 60 | 35% | +21.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 72.2 | 72 | 25% | +18.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,384 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,299 | 78 | 40% | +31.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,135 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25.7 | 68 | 35% | +23.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 28.6 | 22 | 25% | +5.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,384 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,299 | 78 | 20% | +15.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 18.9 | 76 | 50% | +38.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25.7 | 68 | 30% | +20.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 51.7 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (84)
By cuisine
Coffee 16 · Dessert 14 · American 12 · Bakery 12 · Seafood 8 · Pizza 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Italian 5 · Asian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Bakery 17 · Dessert 17 · Bar 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Quick service 10 · Café 8 · Casual dining 6 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Chophouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 53 Market St | open |
| 99 Restaurants 99 Restaurants | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food · American | 8 ryan's Way | open |
| Absolutely Juiced | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6 North St | open | |
| Asia Restaurant Asia Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 3 Greene Street | open |
| Asti Mashpee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Pizza | 26 Steeple St | open |
| Bagel Haven | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 681 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Banditos Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 34 South St | open | |
| Bangkok Cuisine, Mashpee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 681 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Barnstable Pizza & Pasta Co, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 401 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open | |
| Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 259 Shore Dr | open |
| Bleu Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · European | 10 Market St | open |
| Bobby Byrne's Bobby Byrnes | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 6 Central Sq | open |
| Burrito Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 13 Greene Street | open |
| Cape & Islands Distillers | Winery / distillery / taproom | 10A Evergreen Cir | open | |
| Cape Cod Coffee Cape Cod Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 348 Main St | open |
| Cape Cod Coffee @ Mashpee Commons Cape Cod Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 53 Market St | open |
| Cape Cod Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 10 Echo Rd | open |
| Carbos Grille and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 681 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Castaway Cafe | Café | Coffee · American | 22 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Chef Roland's Catering, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 800 Falmouth Rd | open | |
| Chicken Of The Sea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 21 Tobisset St # 2433 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 55 South St | open | |
| Cooke's Seafood - Mashpee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 7 Ryan's Way | open |
| Cupcake Charlie's | Bakery | Bakery | 10 Central Square St | open |
| D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches | Other | Sandwiches | 414 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Dino's Pizza-Sportsbar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 401 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Duke's Donut Worx | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 10 North Street | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 40 South St South Cape Village, Unit 42 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 401 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 401 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 439 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 39 Nathan Ellis Hwy 087 | open |
| Emack & Bolio's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 259 Shore Dr | open |
| Emma's Sugar Shack | Dessert · Bakery | Bakery | 259 Shore Dr | open |
| freshroll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Vegetarian | 439 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Ghelfi's Candies & Ice Cream Ghelfi's Candies at PA | Dessert | Dessert | Mashpee Commons, 22 Steeple St | open |
| Great Wall Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 401 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Hatchville Baking Company | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 48 Market St | open |
| Hometown Juice & Co Mashpee Commons Hometown Juice & Co Sandwich | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6 North Street | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Bakery | Bakery | 282 Main St | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Sandwiches · Dessert | 44 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Jhc Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 401 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open | |
| Kohinoor Indian Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 681 Falmouth Rd Ste D12 | open |
| Lobster Trap Mashpee | Quick service | Mashpee, MA 02649 | open | |
| Marketplace Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Coffee | 259 Shore Dr | open |
| Mashpee Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 3 Village Green Cir | open |
| Michael's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 22 Steeple St | open |
| Naukabout Brewery and Taproom | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 13 Lake Ave | open | |
| New Seabury Country Club & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1 Rock Landing Rd | open |
| Oak and Ember Whiskey Bar and Grill | Bar | 680 Falmouth Rd | open | |
| Oneil's Kitchen | Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee | 440 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 8 Steeple St | open |
| Persy's Place Mashpee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 52 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Picnic Box | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 518 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Pizza Guyz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 439 Nathan Ellis Hwy #7 | open |
| Pizza Prima | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 22 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Polar Cave Ice Cream Parlour | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 22 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Popponesset Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American · Seafood | 20 Red Brook Rd | open |
| Raw Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar | Seafood | 12 Mall Way | open |
| Raw Bar | Bar · Casual dining | Seafood | 259 Shore Dr | open |
| Raw Bar | Bar | 86 Meadowbrook Rd | open | |
| Siena Italian Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 17 Steeple St | open |
| Sly Fox Den | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · American | 13 Main St | open |
| Smitty's Homemade Ice Cream Smitty's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 538 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Soprano's Ristorante Sal's Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 681 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 11 Commercial St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 6 Market St Mashpee Commons | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 681 Falmouth Rd Ste D11 | open |
| Sweet Waves | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 10 Steeple St | open |
| The Chocolate Rose | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 628 Main St Ste a | open |
| The Fidde Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 681 Falmouth Rd Ste A11 | open | |
| The Lure | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood · American | 236 Shore Dr | open |
| Trevi Cafe & Wine Bar | Bar · Café | Coffee · Mediterranean | 25 Market St | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Quick service | 30 Bates Road | open | |
| Uva Wine Bar/Mashpee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4 Market St | open | |
| Valley Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 309 Old Barnstable Rd | open | |
| Washashore Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 14 Central Square St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 44 Falmouth Rd | open |
| Whistle Stop Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 14 Central Square | open |
| White Lion Baking Company | Bakery | Bakery · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 439 Nathan Ellis Hwy #1 | open |
| Wildfire Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 414 Nathan Ellis Hwy | open |
| Wildfire Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2A Center St | open |
| Zoe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 38 Bates Rd | open |
| Wicked Restaurant And Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 680 Falmouth Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 19 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 37 | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 39 | 39 | 23 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 37 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 39 | 16 | 11 | 12 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 38 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 39 | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 38 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 40 | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 48 | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |