BMIE Market 02536
Barnstable County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±963 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±483 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,583 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,956 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $100,497 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,034 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 53.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,626 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±678 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $558,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 27.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02536 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +34.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +29.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +106.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +106.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 29–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02536. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.2 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.0 | 71 | 35% | +24.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 81.3 | 81 | 25% | +20.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,328 | 82 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,497 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,100 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 29.2 | 71 | 35% | +24.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.5 | 55 | 25% | +13.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,328 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 100,497 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 34.8 | 86 | 50% | +43.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 29.2 | 71 | 30% | +21.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 106.7 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (58)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · Pizza 9 · American 8 · Dessert 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · Breakfast 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Martha Farmer's Brewery & Brewpub | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 876 E Falmouth, State Rte | open | |
| Bad Martha Farmer's Brewery & Brewpub | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 876 E Falmouth State Route | open |
| Beyond The Grind Coffee & Blends | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 15 Parsons Ln | open |
| Bite On The Go | Buffet | 424 E Falmouth Hwy Unit B101 | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 111 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Cape Cod Burgers & Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 420 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Cape Cod Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 4 Oxbow Rd | open | |
| Cape Cod Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 4 Oxbow Rd | open | |
| Captain Cone's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 460 Waquoit Hwy | open |
| Chad's Stuffed Quahogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 20 Happy Hollow Rd | open |
| China King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 340 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Delicious Desserts | Dessert · Catering · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 44 Candace Way | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 667 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 363 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1184 Sandwich Rd | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4 Sandwich Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 202 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 137 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| East End Tap | Bar · Casual dining | American | 734 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| East Side Grind | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 767 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Eileen Blake's Pies | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 39 Rebecca Ann Ln | open |
| Golden Sails Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 143 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Hong Kong Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 165 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Jimmy Brown’s Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 339 E Falmouth Hwy | open | |
| Jz Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 339 E Falmouth Hwy | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 400 East Falmouth Highway | open | |
| Le Bon Jour | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · American | 424 E Falmouth Hwy Unit A3 | open |
| Lobo's House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 338 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Martha's Vineyard Island | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | open | ||
| Mayflour Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 31 Teaticket Hwy Unit 105 2nd Fl | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 263 E Main St | open |
| Moonakis Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 460 Waquoit Highway (Route 28 diagonally across from Cumberland Farms Gas | open |
| Moto Pizza Falmouth | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 500 Waquoit Hwy | open |
| Oysters Too | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Steakhouse | 876 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Papa Jake's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 146 Sandwich Rd | open |
| Peck O 'Dirt Farm and Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Vegetarian | 277 Hatchville Rd | open |
| Peel Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 31 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Peppers Jerk Centre | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20 Duke Street | open | |
| Pies a La Mode | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 200 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Pizza 1 & Subs 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 735 MA-28 | open |
| Ristorante Avellino | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 339 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Sippewissett Oysters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 277 Hatchville Rd | open |
| Smitty's Homemade Ice Cream Smitty's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 326 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Spiral Cone | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 188 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 626 Macarthur Boulevard | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 236 Teaticket Hwy Unit 1 & 2 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 137 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Supreme Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 147 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| Sweet Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 167 Teaticket Hwy East | open |
| Sweet Tomatoes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 421 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 258 Teaticket Hwy | open |
| The Buffalo Jump | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 277 Hatchville Rd | open |
| The Portuguese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other) · Brazilian | 424 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| The Secret Garden Airbnb | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 649 Locustfield Rd | open |
| The Tiki Bar | Bar | 251 Pinecrest Beach Dr | open | |
| Washburn Island Beach Club and Lounge | Bar | 194 Seapit Rd | open | |
| Wicked n' Wood BBQ & Wood Grill | Food truck · Catering | BBQ | 383 E Falmouth Hwy | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 137 Teaticket Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 15 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 15 | 12 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |