BMIE Market 02743

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,127 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±244 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,307 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,121 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,170 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$434,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,799 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02743
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02743. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.1	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.7	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	34.3	34	25%	+8.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,519	72	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	89,593	73	40%	+29.1
Households (ACS)	4,127	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.3	59	25%	+14.8
Population (ACS)	10,519	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	89,593	73	20%	+14.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 6 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Acushnet Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	158 Main St	open
Acushnet Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	264 Main St	open
Armand's Of Southeastern Mass, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Dayton St	open
Black Tie Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	211 Middle Rd	open
Blackjack's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	161 S Main St	open
Blue Lantern Cafe	Casual dining · Bar		605 N Main St	open
Blue Point Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6 Dayton St	open
Captains Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European · American	162 S Main St	open
Casa De Cuddles	Bar		29 Gabriel Farm Dr	open
Country Whip	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	1173 N Main St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	150 S Main St	open
Gj 24	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33 Burt St	open
High Seas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	164 S Main St	open
Impart 12	Café		43 Pershing Ave	open
J & J Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)		162 S Main St	open
Jeffrey's House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	161 S Main St	open
JT's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		77 Slocum St	open
Kam Cuisine Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	132 S Main St	open
Lloyd’s Deli & More Acushnet	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	158 Main St	open
Ponderosa Sportsman's Club	Bar	Seafood	242 Robinson Rd	open
Rivers End	Café · Bar	Coffee	7 Tarkiln Hill Rd	open
Rochelle's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	586 Main St	open
Seafood Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2 S Main St	open
Taracon	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5 Boylston St	open
The Candy Apple Farm	Dessert		788 Main St	open
The Mill Restaurant	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	156 S Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	14	10	6	2	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	10	6	1	3	3	NAICS1997
2000	16	12	8	1	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	16	12	7	1	4	3	NAICS1997
2002	17	13	9	1	3	3	NAICS1997
2003	18	14	8	3	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	12	7	2	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	16	12	8	—	4	3	NAICS2002
2006	15	11	7	—	4	3	NAICS2002
2007	15	9	5	1	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	18	14	6	4	4	3	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	8	2	4	3	NAICS2007
2010	19	14	7	3	4	3	NAICS2007
2011	18	14	8	2	4	3	NAICS2007
2012	16	12	7	2	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	16	12	6	2	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	18	13	7	2	4	3	NAICS2012
2015	19	14	7	3	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	7	2	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	6	5	4	3	NAICS2017
2018	20	15	6	5	4	4	NAICS2017
2019	21	16	6	4	6	4	NAICS2017
2020	22	18	8	4	6	3	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	7	3	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	16	8	3	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	14	5	3	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02743. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02745	2.6 mi	49	2023
02746	4.1 mi	42	2023
02770	4.7 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.