BMIE Market 02744

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,900 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,340 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,675 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,081 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,224 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$372,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,628 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02744
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+46.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+15.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02744. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.6	56	40%	+22.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.8	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	66.2	66	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,716	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	58,675	27	40%	+10.9
Households (ACS)	5,274	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.3	45	25%	+11.2
Population (ACS)	12,716	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	58,675	27	20%	+5.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	46.7	61	20%	+12.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

Bakery 6 · Coffee 5 · American 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Seafood 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Caribbean 2 · European 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 10 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 C's Bar & Grille	Bar		578 Brock Ave	open
Alianca Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European	98 Cove St	open
Ambiance Park Café	Casual dining · Bar		369 Rivet St	open
Amigos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	122 County St	open
BIG HEIDI Cheesecake Manufacturing LLC	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	337 Brock Ave	open
Butler Flats Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		38 Cove St	open
Café Ilha Verde	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	87 Delano St	open
Cali-Ritos Burrito Grill Cali-rito’s Burrito Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1409 Cove Rd	open
Campino Café	Café · Bar	Coffee	821 S 1st St	open
Casa Victoria	Bakery	Bakery	104 County St	open
CFC Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	42 Rodney French Blvd	open
Doco	Bakery	Bakery	127 Rodney French Blvd	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	951 Brock Ave	open
En Bon Hospitality	Restaurant (service type not stated)		466 Brock Ave	open
G's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · American	812 Brock Ave	open
Granizadas y antojitos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	804 Brock Ave	open
Inner Bay Cafe	Bar	Spanish / tapas · Seafood	1339 Cove Rd	open
Jimmy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	757 Brock Ave	open
La Carniceria y Panaderia de Don Tomas	Bakery · Specialty food shop	Bakery	104 County St	open
Libads	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		578 Brock Ave	open
Lighthouse Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	578 Brock Ave	open
Martha Julia’s Restaurante de Guatemala	Restaurant (service type not stated)		98 County St	open
Me & Ed's Family Restaraunt and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	30 Brock Ave	open
Mee Hong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	120 Cove St	open
Mi Antojo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	601 S 2nd St	open
New Bedford Baking Co	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	98 County St	open
New Bedford House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	64 Rodney French Blvd	open
Panchis Latin Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	363 Rivet St	open
Primo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	320 Rivet St #1032	open
PSC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56 Delano St	open
Pup-town Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	127 W Rodney French Blvd	open
Rachells La zacualpeñita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	804 Brock Ave	open
Restaurante Algarve	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European	128 County St	open
Sebastion’s Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	110 County St	open
Sorbae Frozen Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1000 S Rodney French Blvd	open
SurfSide New Bedford Newport Creamery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Seafood · Juice / smoothies	26 Brock Ave	open
T & S Bar & Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1339 Cove Rd	open
Tasha's Delicate Delicias	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee		open
The Camp Sports Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		157 Cove St	open
Tony's Cafe & Bar Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		118 County St	open
United Fishermen Club	Bar		639 Orchard St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	19	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1995	24	14	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	26	15	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1997	28	17	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	27	15	11	3	1	12	NAICS1997
1999	30	17	11	4	2	13	NAICS1997
2000	28	16	11	4	1	12	NAICS1997
2001	27	16	11	4	1	11	NAICS1997
2002	29	17	11	5	1	12	NAICS1997
2003	28	15	10	5	—	12	NAICS2002
2004	27	16	11	4	1	11	NAICS2002
2005	28	17	10	6	1	11	NAICS2002
2006	26	17	11	5	1	9	NAICS2002
2007	25	18	13	5	—	7	NAICS2002
2008	29	21	14	5	2	8	NAICS2007
2009	27	19	15	3	1	8	NAICS2007
2010	29	19	14	3	2	10	NAICS2007
2011	30	21	15	3	3	9	NAICS2007
2012	29	20	14	5	1	9	NAICS2012
2013	30	22	15	6	1	8	NAICS2012
2014	27	20	15	4	1	7	NAICS2012
2015	27	19	14	4	1	8	NAICS2012
2016	28	19	12	6	1	9	NAICS2012
2017	26	18	13	4	—	8	NAICS2017
2018	26	16	11	4	—	10	NAICS2017
2019	24	18	13	4	—	6	NAICS2017
2020	21	15	11	3	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	23	18	13	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	23	18	10	7	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	26	22	14	7	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02744. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02740	2.5 mi	80	2023
02719	2.9 mi	47	2023
02746	4.4 mi	42	2023
02748	4.7 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.