BMIE Market 02748

Bristol County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,281 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,897 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,442 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,519 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$521,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02748
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 25–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02748. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.5	75	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.9	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	70.3	70	25%	+17.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,281	73	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	97,361	79	40%	+31.7
Households (ACS)	4,897	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.3	69	35%	+24.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	11,281	73	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	97,361	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	26.3	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Seafood 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Dessert 8 · Bar 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baldies Pizza & Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	532 Russells Mills Rd	open
Black Bass Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse · American	3 Water St	open
Black Tie Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	238 Russells Mills Rd	open
Cape Quality Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	657 Dartmouth St	open
Chumleys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Bridge St	open
Cupcake Theory	Bakery	Bakery	743 Dartmouth St	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	546 Dartmouth St	open
Dockside Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1 Bridge St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	550 Russells Mills Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	575 Dartmouth St.	open
Duos: Kitchen Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee		open
Fay's Restaurant and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	613 Dartmouth St	open
Friendly Pizza & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	216 Russells Mills Rd	open
Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	631 Dartmouth St	open
HEALTHY Grille Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Sheridan St	open
Little Moss	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6 Bridge St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	179 Rockdale Ave	open
Miller's Homeport	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Cove Rd	open
Naughty Dawgs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Burgers · American	743 Dartmouth St	open
Not Your Average Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5 Bridge St	open
Novo Mundo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Spanish / tapas · American	24 Cove Rd	open
Oxford Creamery At The Bucket	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	77 Gulf Rd	open
Panchito’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		5 Cove Rd	open
Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	704 Dartmouth St	open
Piezoni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	546 Dartmouth St	open
Sail Loft	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	246 Elm St	open
Salvador's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	460 Smith Neck Rd	open
Scuttlebutt Padanaram	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	10a Bridge St	open
The Boujee Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	743 Dartmouth St	open
The Bucket	Food truck · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	77 Gulf Rd	open
The Niche	Bar		Elm Street	open
The Village Sweet Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	300 Elm St	open
Thirsty Whale Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	24 Cove Rd	open
Ying Dynasty of Dartmouth Ying Dynasty Bar-Dartmouth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	724a Dartmouth St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	19	17	10	4	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	7	4	3	3	NAICS1997
2000	16	14	6	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	16	13	5	4	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	5	3	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	7	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	17	8	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	16	8	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	15	7	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	14	6	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	8	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	18	9	4	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	8	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	19	18	8	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	7	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	18	5	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	5	10	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	21	20	6	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	19	7	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	22	8	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	24	9	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	22	8	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	24	10	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	23	8	8	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	24	9	7	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02748. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02744	4.7 mi	22	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.