BMIE Market 02806

Bristol County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,126 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,386 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$153,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$644,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02806
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+91.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 21–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02806. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.6	86	40%	+34.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.2	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	67.3	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,126	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	153,198	96	40%	+38.6
Households (ACS)	6,228	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.1	64	35%	+22.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.4	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	17,126	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	153,198	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.5	67	50%	+33.5
10-year restaurant growth	21.1	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	64.3	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · American 8 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Café 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 3 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aldeia Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	74 Maple Ave	open
Bagels Etc	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	259 County Rd	open
Barrington Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	188 County Rd	open
Bee's Knees (pitapocket)	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	186 County Rd	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	186 County Rd	open
Billy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	286 Maple Ave Unit 4	open
Black Pear	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	312 County Rd #2410	open
Blue Kangaroo Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	328 County Rd	open
Bluewater Bar + Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	32 Barton Ave	open
Brickyard Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	59 Maple Ave	open
Cardioglow	Restaurant (service type not stated)		286 Maple Ave	open
Chiazza Trattoria	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · American	308 County Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	227 County Rd	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	186 County Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	258 County Rd	open
Leon's Cafe & Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	230 Waseca Ave	open
Maggie’s macarons	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	3 Simmons Rd	open
Mangia Trattoria & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	296 County Rd	open
Medici Gelato	Dessert	Dessert	74 Maple Ave	open
Miku Japanese Cuisine Chinese & Sushi Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	306 County Rd	open
Moving Dough Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	59 Maple Ave	open
Nacho Momma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	18 Maple Ave	open
Newport Creamery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	296 County Rd	open
Oxford Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	286 Maple Ave	open
PieZoni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	222 County Rd	open
Pita Pocket	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Vegetarian	186 County Rd	open
Prince Ali's Kebab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher	305 Sowams Rd	open
Rhode Island Candy Company	Dessert	Dessert	47 Wood Ave	open
Sip&Bite	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	20 West St	open
Spaghetti Lane	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	8 Anoka Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	180 County Road	open
Stock Food Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		308 County Rd	open
Studio47 Pilates	Restaurant (service type not stated)		47 Maple Ave	open
Sweet Lorraine's Candy Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	211 Waseca Ave	open
T & E Corp Dba Bagel's Etc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		259 County Rd	open
Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8 Anoka Ave	open
The 286 Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		286 Maple Ave	open
The Boathouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	38 Mathewson Rd	open
THE BOSS [Barrington, RI]	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1 Waseca Ave	open
The Daily Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Waseca Ave	open
The Ice Cream Garage	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	61 Maple Ave	open
Thrive Tribe Cafe	Café	Coffee	60 Maple Ave	open
TONG-D (Barrington)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	156 County Rd	open
Vienna Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · European · Dessert	110 Maple Ave	open
Viola Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	296 County Rd	open
Golden Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	226 County Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	17	15	7	5	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	19	16	6	6	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	16	5	8	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	14	4	7	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	19	7	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	26	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	25	19	7	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	17	6	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	25	21	8	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	21	17	6	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	22	17	6	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	22	18	10	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	19	10	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	21	13	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	20	11	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	10	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	21	12	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	23	14	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	20	11	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	23	10	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02806. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02885	3.2 mi	44	2023
02915	3.2 mi	20	2023
02889	3.7 mi	47	2023
02809	4.6 mi	54	2023
02888	4.7 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.