BMIE Market 02809

Bristol County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,220 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,731 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,764 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,579 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$485,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,967 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	54 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02809
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+68.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	55 (range 52–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02809. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.6	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.5	58	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	46.3	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,220	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	97,764	79	40%	+31.8
Households (ACS)	8,731	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10.2	54	35%	+19.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.3	28	25%	+7.0
Population (ACS)	22,220	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	97,764	79	20%	+15.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	10.2	54	30%	+16.3
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (106)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 15 · Pizza 13 · Dessert 12 · Italian 9 · Bakery 6 · Breakfast 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Seafood 4 · European 3 · Mexican 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Bar 20 · Casual dining 14 · Dessert 12 · Café 11 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Brewery / taproom 6 · Quick service 4 · Catering 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agave	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	805 Hope St	open
Aidan's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	5 John St	open
Amare Sweets & Treats	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	259 Thames St	open
Bar 31	Bar		29 State St	open
Basil & Bunny	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · American	500 Wood St	open
Batista Bakery and Pastry	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	75 Franklin St	open
Bon Appétit at Roger Williams University	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	1 Old Ferry Rd	open
Borealis Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	500 Wood St	open
Brick Pizza Co.	Bar	Pizza · Italian	500 Wood St	open
Bristol Bagel Works	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	420 Hope St	open
Bristol Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		553 Hope St	open
Bristol House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	55 State St	open
Bristol Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	448 Hope St	open
Bristol Sunset Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	499 Hope St	open
Bristol Sweet Shop	Dessert	Dessert	577 Hope St	open
Bristol's Stone Church Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	300 High St	open
C & C Donuts, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		381 Metacom Ave	open
Cabral Gourmet Chicken Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	585 Metacom Ave	open
Cafe Central	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	173 Bradford St	open
Cafe La France	Restaurant (service type not stated)		483 Hope St	open
Cake Gallery	Bakery	Bakery	576 Metacom Ave	open
California Taco Shop	Quick service			open
Casa Margaritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	200 Gooding Ave	open
Casual Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	170 Franklin St	open
Classic Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	349 Metacom Ave	open
Common Pub & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		421 Wood St	open
CP'S Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		421 Wood St	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	576 Metacom Ave	open
Destiny's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	24 Gooding Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	655 Metacom Ave	open
Don Patron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	381 Metacom Ave	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	467 Hope St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	1 Old Ferry Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	8 Gooding Ave	open
East Bay Restaurant Group Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		448 Hope St	open
Empire Tea & Coffee Empire Tea & Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	251 Thames St	open
Fair and Square Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9 Gooding Ave	open
Fieldstone Kombucha	Brewery / taproom		500 Wood St	open
Foglia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Italian	31 State St	open
Folklore Provisions	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · European	301 Hope St	open
Grace Waters Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5 John St	open
Gray's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	259 Thames St	open
Green Eggs Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	576 Metacom Ave	open
Hope Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	742 Hope St	open
Hourglass Brasserie	Casual dining · Bar	Spanish / tapas	382 Thames St	open
Jacky's Galaxie Bristol Jacky's Waterplace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Chinese	383 Metacom Ave	open
Jules Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	446 Thames St	open
Kam Shing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	24 Gooding Ave	open
Kinsmen Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		241 State St	open
Le Central	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	483 Hope St	open
Leo's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	365 Hope St	open
Libegoff Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		251 Thames St	open
Liberatos Lounge And Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		805 Hope St	open
Lucky Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		576 Metacom Ave Unit 17	open
M&M Catering	Food truck · Catering	Spanish / tapas	120 Franklin St	open
Nacho Mamma's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	76 State St	open
Nello's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	576 Metacom Ave Unit 14	open
O'Brien & Brough	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 Wood St Unit 112	open
Pannoni’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)		553 Hope St	open
Papa Joe's Wrap Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Pizza	567 Hope St	open
Persimmon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 State St	open
Pisco and Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	382 Thames St	open
Pivotal Brewing Company Bristol	Brewery / taproom		500 Wood St Bldg 111	open
Pizza Caldo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15 Gooding Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	381 Metacom Ave	open
Pomodoro Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	271 Wood St	open
Portside Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		444 Thames St	open
Prudence Bristol Rhode Island	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1 State St	open
Quito's Restaurant and Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	411 Thames St	open
Redlefsen's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	444 Thames St	open
Riccotti's Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	11 Gooding Ave	open
Roberge Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		382 Thames St Unit 1	open
Roberto's Restaurant & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	450 Hope St	open
S S Dion	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	520 Thames St	open
Sakuratani Ramen KINTON RAMEN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	531 Wood St	open
Sam's Restaurant and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	149 Bradford St	open
Sip-N-Dip	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	775 Hope St	open
Six Pack Brewing	Brewery / taproom		87 Gooding Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1 Old Ferry Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	397 Metacom Ave	open
Sugah rush ice cream truck	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9 Westwood Rd	open
TAMP	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	359 Wood St	open
Tanks hotdogs LLC Foodtruck	Food truck · Catering		9 Westwood Rd	open
Thames Street Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		259 Thames St	open
Thames Waterside Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		251 Thames St	open
The Beehive Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	10 Franklin St	open
The Beehive Pantry	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Franklin St	open
The Beehive Pantry Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	87 Gooding Ave Ste 4	open
The British Beer Company	Bar		29 State St	open
The Cake Gallery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	555 Hope St	open
The Lobster Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	119 Hope St	open
The Nest	Bar	British / Irish pub food	29 State St	open
The Phanta’s Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Thai · American	382 Thames St #2	open
The Soda Factory	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	500 Wood St	open
The Wave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	400 Metacom Ave	open
Trágmar Ale Works	Brewery / taproom · Bar		87 Gooding Ave	open
Tri Mack Plastics Mfg Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		66 Tupelo St	open
Twelve Guns Brewing	Brewery / taproom		549 Metacom Ave	open
Vans Spa	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	359 Wood St	open
Vic’s Harborside	Restaurant (service type not stated)		465 Wood St	open
Vigilant Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		44 Ballou Blvd	open
Wood St. Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	366 Wood St	open
Wood Street Cafe	Casual dining · Bar		260 Wood St	open
Zelia's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	20 Gooding Ave	open
Baba Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	205 Thames St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	37	32	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	38	33	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	40	36	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	44	39	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	42	35	21	9	4	4	NAICS1997
1999	41	33	20	9	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	49	38	23	11	3	7	NAICS1997
2001	46	36	19	11	5	6	NAICS1997
2002	53	42	23	10	8	7	NAICS1997
2003	62	45	27	10	8	6	NAICS2002
2004	65	47	26	13	8	6	NAICS2002
2005	58	47	24	14	9	7	NAICS2002
2006	60	49	28	12	9	7	NAICS2002
2007	62	52	32	11	9	6	NAICS2002
2008	63	53	31	13	9	5	NAICS2007
2009	60	51	31	12	8	4	NAICS2007
2010	60	49	31	11	7	4	NAICS2007
2011	59	50	30	12	8	4	NAICS2007
2012	57	47	28	11	8	4	NAICS2012
2013	60	49	27	14	8	5	NAICS2012
2014	61	50	27	14	9	6	NAICS2012
2015	64	51	27	15	9	6	NAICS2012
2016	64	53	29	16	8	5	NAICS2012
2017	64	55	30	18	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	63	54	31	17	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	60	52	32	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	62	53	31	15	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	63	53	33	13	7	3	NAICS2017
2022	60	51	31	13	7	3	NAICS2022
2023	64	54	34	12	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02809. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02885	3.6 mi	44	2023
02806	4.6 mi	23	2023
02724	5.0 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.