BMIE Market 02828

Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,023 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,704 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,226 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,196 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,594 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$440,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,298 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02828
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	31.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 22–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02828. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.2	71	40%	+28.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.1	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	79.0	79	25%	+19.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,023	66	40%	+26.2
Median household income (ACS)	97,196	79	40%	+31.6
Households (ACS)	2,994	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	55.6	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	39.9	13	25%	+3.3
Population (ACS)	7,023	66	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	97,196	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	55.6	85	30%	+25.6
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 5 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 7 · Dessert 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurants A&W Restaurants	Quick service	Burgers · American	460 Putnam Pike	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	446 Putnam Pike	open
Athens Pizza House Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Greek	1 Austin Ave	open
Black Dog Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	566 Putnam Pike	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	438 Putnam Pike	open
Cafe Such A Bagel	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	445 Putnam Pike	open
CAVA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	473 Putnam Pike	open
Chelo's Hometown Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	445 Putnam Pike	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	473 Putnam Pike	open
Cook and Dagger	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	566 Putnam Pike	open
Cook and Dagger	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	566 Putnam Pike	open
Country Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3 Commerce St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	639B Putnam Pike	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		446 Putnam Pike Stop Andshop	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	471 Putnam Pike	open
Emma’s Pizza Pasta & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	743 Putnam Pike 743	open
Frank & John from Italy on the Water	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	743 Putnam Pike	open
Fresh Pita Smithfield	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Sandwiches	777 Putnam Pike	open
Giuseppe's Pizzeria Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	19 Smith Ave	open
Greenville Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Island Fin Poke Company - Smithfield, Ri	Restaurant (service type not stated)		445 Putnam Pike Unit K	open
Ivy And Lace Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	546 Putnam Pike	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	473 Putnam Pike	open
Josephine's Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	19 Smith Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	421 Putnam Pike	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	445 Putnam Pike	open
Newport Creamery Newport Creamery	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	568 Putnam Pike	open
Pizza lite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5 Terrace Dr	open
Powder Mill Creamery	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	777 Putnam Pike	open
rachel's table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	37 Lark Industrial Parkway	open
Rancho Las Estrellas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	743 Putnam Pike	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	445 Putnam Pike	open
The Trap North	Casual dining · Bar	American	10 Smith Ave	open
Val's English Tea & Pie Shop	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee	466 Putnam Pike	open
Pho Ever Green Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		566 Putnam Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	23	20	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	22	20	6	11	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	21	20	5	12	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	19	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	18	6	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	21	8	10	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	22	21	7	9	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	22	21	7	10	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	19	5	10	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	21	20	6	10	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	21	21	5	12	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	23	6	13	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	23	23	6	13	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	24	7	13	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	24	23	7	12	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	19	7	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	6	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	23	21	9	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	25	22	10	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	8	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	23	22	8	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	21	7	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	20	7	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	20	7	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	20	7	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	24	9	10	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	28	7	14	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02828. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02829	1.8 mi	3	2017
02917	2.7 mi	50	2023
02919	4.1 mi	85	2023
02911	4.8 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.