BMIE Market 02911

Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,903 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±547 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,574 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,975 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$360,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,865 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02911
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 19–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02911. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.8	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.6	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	66.1	66	25%	+16.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,653	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	89,456	73	40%	+29.1
Households (ACS)	6,903	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.3	52	25%	+12.9
Population (ACS)	15,653	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	89,456	73	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

American 11 · Pizza 7 · Breakfast 6 · Coffee 6 · Asian 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Bakery 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2053 Sabor	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2053 Smith St	open
Acorn Room Cocktails And Gatherings	Bar		2209 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Amelia Miller	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1838 Smith St	open
Atwells Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Atwood Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	2086 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Avenue Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2223 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Bagel Express & Deli - Smith Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1846 Smith St	open
Bailey's Pub & Grille	Bar		1910 Smith St	open
Beer place	Bar		6 Pensaukee Ave	open
Bella Luna Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1839 Smith St	open
Bubble House Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1726 Smith St	open
Cal's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Breakfast	1538 Smith St	open
Camp Nowhere	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	1838 Smith St	open
Carries Seafood Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1942 Smith St	open
Chardonnay's Express	Café	Coffee	1525 Smith St	open
Cheng's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1526 Smith St	open
CloudCo Vape Lounge	Bar		1842 Smith St	open
Cool Licks Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1808 Smith St	open
Crispin Pizza & Dinner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2244 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Cuddle IR	Café		1575 Evergreen Ave	open
Curry Walla Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1525 Smith St	open
Dabbawala Lunchbox Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2009 Smith St	open
Dea Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1861 Smith St	open
Depetrillo's Pizza And Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1755 Smith St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1744 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1800 Smith St	open
El Patron Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	1942 Smith St	open
Ev'rybody's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		1910 Smith St	open
Fit_mom Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1726 Smith St	open
Golden Crust Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Pizza · American	1526 Smith St	open
Green Basil Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2086 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Guido Murphy's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2033 Smith St	open
Howies Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1525 Smith St Ste 7	open
Jade House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Chinese · Asian	1852 Smith St	open
Kaza Maza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher	146 Waterman Ave	open
La Casa Del Sabor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	2053 Smith St	open
Lam & Yan Hospitality Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1852 Smith St	open
Larry's Lounge	Bar		2055 Smith St	open
Mangiamo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Italian · Sandwiches	1958 Smith St	open
Mary W. Remington	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3962 Melm Street	open
Mediterranean Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2220 Mineral Spring Ave	open
New England Homemade Donuts New England Homemade Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2073 Smith St	open
Osho Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Caribbean	1525 Smith St	open
Osho Sushi & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1525 Smith St	open
Pizza Station 1 Morgan Ave North Providence Rhode Island 02911	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American		open
Posillipo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	103 Waterman Ave	open
Princess And Sons Three	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1755 Smith St	open
Providence Burger Bar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Restaurante El Abuelo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1525 Smith St #1	open
Rossi's delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	1877 Smith St	open
Royal Fried Chicken In	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2046 Smith St	open
Sorrento Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	1848 Smith St	open
Sweet Deliveries Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2242 Mineral Spring Ave	open
The Centredale	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2025 Smith St	open
The Change Organic Seamoss & Bakery	Other · Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1755 Smith St	open
The Duke Kitchen and Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1839 Smith St	open
The Game House	Café	Coffee	1726 Smith St	open
The Rhody Hen Cafe The Rhody Hen Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1525 Smith St	open
Tio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2220 Mineral Spring Ave	open
Tumblesalts Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Coffee	1 Sweet St	open
Villa Santini's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1861 Smith St	open
Wine and Cheese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1861 Smith St	open
Chubby's Bar & Grill Inc	Bar		1838 Smith St	closed
Frankie's New York Style Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1525 Smith St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	18	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	21	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	20	15	6	7	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	19	14	7	5	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	21	15	7	6	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	22	16	10	4	2	5	NAICS1997
2003	25	18	11	5	2	6	NAICS2002
2004	32	26	14	10	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	33	26	13	11	2	6	NAICS2002
2006	28	23	8	12	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	30	25	6	16	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	27	22	6	13	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	23	18	6	9	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	21	17	5	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	16	6	8	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	21	17	4	9	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	21	18	4	10	4	2	NAICS2012
2014	24	21	7	10	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	23	20	8	8	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	26	22	8	10	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	28	25	10	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	21	11	7	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	25	21	11	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	10	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	24	13	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02911. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02904	1.9 mi	85	2023
02908	2.0 mi	58	2023
02918	2.1 mi	1	2016
02909	2.8 mi	73	2023
02919	3.1 mi	85	2023
02903	4.1 mi	208	2023
02912	4.1 mi	1	2016
02865	4.3 mi	43	2023
02917	4.4 mi	50	2023
02906	4.4 mi	99	2023
02860	4.5 mi	77	2023
02907	4.6 mi	38	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.