BMIE Market 02865
Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±787 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,951 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,090 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $105,958 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,186 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,398 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $470,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02865 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 23.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -2.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +72.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +65.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 39–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02865. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.7 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.1 | 48 | 35% | +16.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 51.0 | 51 | 25% | +12.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,447 | 80 | 40% | +32.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 105,958 | 85 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,107 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.3 | 22 | 35% | +7.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 23.3 | 30 | 25% | +7.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,447 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 105,958 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.4 | 59 | 50% | +29.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.3 | 22 | 30% | +6.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 72 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (99)
By cuisine
American 17 · Coffee 15 · Dessert 10 · Pizza 10 · Bakery 8 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Breakfast 5 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Bar 15 · Bakery 13 · Quick service 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Dessert 10 · Casual dining 9 · Café 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18650 Heat Shrink & Cell Holders Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Carrington St | open | |
| 9 Twenty Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 190 Front St | open |
| Amore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 Front St | open | |
| Asia Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Autocrat Coffee Syrup | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 10 Blackstone Valley Pl | open |
| Axe Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Higginson Ave | open | |
| Banai Brothers Of Lincoln Llc Dba Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 178 Front St | open | |
| Birch Tree Pub | Bar | 1526 Old Louisquisset Pike | open | |
| Bistro Locale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · American | 600 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Calise & Sons Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2 Quality Dr | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 622 George Washington Hwy Unit 68 | open |
| Casino Bound Donuts Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1783 Old Louisquisset Pike | open | |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Sandwiches | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 622 George Washington Hwy | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Dragon Villa | Bar | Chinese · Asian | 609 Smithfield Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 629 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1783 Old Louisquisset Pike Season's Gas Station | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1319 Eddie Dowling Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Eclipse Syrups | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Blackstone Valley Pl | open | |
| Enn Japanese Restaurant and Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 600 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 622 George Washington Highway | open |
| Frank's Restaurant | Casual dining | American · Italian | 614 Smithfield Ave | open |
| Fred & Steve Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Fundati Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1525 Old Louisquisset Pike | open |
| Gingersnaps Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 182 Front St | open |
| Greenway Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 259 Front St | open |
| Greenway International Kitchens | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 259 Front St | open |
| Harry's Lincoln Burger, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 Front St | open | |
| Hartly's Pork Pie | Bakery | Bakery | 871 Smithfield Ave | open |
| Hercules Pizza Works | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1525 Old Louisquisset Pike | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 179 Front St | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 622 George Washington Hwy Unit 70 | open |
| Imondi Foods | Bakery | Bakery | 100 Higginson Ave | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Jacky's Galaxie Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Jerry Longo's Meatballs and Martinis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Jerry Longo’s Meatballs & Martinis | Bar | 100 Twin River Rd Fl 2 | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 622 George Washington Highway | open |
| Johnny Rockets Johnny Rockets | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Burgers · American | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 100 Twin River | open |
| Kinnera Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 259 Front St | open |
| Kiwi Burst | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 616 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Lighthouse Bar | Bar | 100 Twin River Rd | open | |
| Lincoln Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 276 Front St | open |
| Lincoln Pepperoni's Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 618 George Washington Hwy | open | |
| Lincoln Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 188 Front St | open |
| Maplehurst Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 276 Front St | open |
| Maria's Breakfast & Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 616 Smithfield Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Miracle Pop Up Bar | Bar | Twin River | open | |
| Nathan's Famous Nathan's Famous Malaysia | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Nathaniel's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Original Pizza of Boston | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 13 Blackstone Valley Pl | open |
| Overview, Inc.-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6 Blackstone Valley Pl | open | |
| OZ Tacos & Tequila | Bar | Mexican | 200 Front St | open |
| Pam's Front St. Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | front st | open |
| Panera Bread | Bakery | Bakery | 640 George Washington Hwy # 100-A | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 613 George Washington Highway | open |
| Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 622 George Washington Highway, Lincoln Center Mall | open |
| Pepino's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 616 George Washington Hwy | open |
| PieZoni's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 618 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 620 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Poke Bros. Poke Bros. Polaris | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 622 George Washington Hwy Ste 42 | open |
| Public House by WeRoast Coffee | Café · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | 210 Front St | open |
| Pulcinella Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3 Wake Robin Rd | open | |
| Ronzio Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1600 Louisquisset Pike | open |
| Sapphire | Bar | 100 Twin River Rd | open | |
| Sbarro Sbarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Sbarros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Shanna's Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1517 Old Louisquisset Pike | open |
| Silly Cat Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 95 Progress St | open |
| Sportsbook Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 100 Twin River Rd | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | George Washington Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 620 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 622 George Washington Hwy, D-03 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 178 Front St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 100 Twin River Rd | open |
| Super Suppers | Casual dining | American | 622 George Washington Hwy | open |
| Tastings Wine Bar & Lounge | Bar | 600 George Washington Hwy | open | |
| Tebo Electric, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1011 Smithfield Ave | open | |
| Thai Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 259 Front St | open |
| The Burrito Bowl Refuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 100 Higginson Ave | open |
| The Cafe @ Fairlawn | Casual dining | American | 893 Smithfield Ave | open |
| The Lodge Pub and Eatery | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 40 Breakneck Hill Rd | open |
| The Mess Hall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Higginson Ave | open | |
| Torre Restaurant Group Pizzeria Romana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3 Wake Robin Rd | open |
| Trattoria Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3 Wake Robin Rd #3 | open |
| Trattoria Romana Trattoria Romana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 3 Wake Robin Rd | open |
| Weiner Genie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 80 Higginson Ave | open | |
| Wicked Good Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Twin River Rd | open | |
| Brooksies Sports Bar And Grille | Bar | 614 Smithfield Ave | closed | |
| Nhny Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Twin River Rd | closed | |
| Overtime Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 200 Front St | closed | |
| Ronzio Management Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 John St Ste 2 | closed | |
| Squantum Donuts 2 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 640c George Washington Hwy Ste 200 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 26 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 26 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 29 | 25 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 30 | 27 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 29 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 32 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 36 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 36 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 37 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 43 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 45 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 51 | 37 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 54 | 42 | 14 | 20 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 50 | 40 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 47 | 37 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 48 | 39 | 13 | 16 | 10 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 54 | 44 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 49 | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 46 | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 49 | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 42 | 19 | 15 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 42 | 17 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 56 | 46 | 18 | 20 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 52 | 42 | 14 | 18 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 49 | 41 | 15 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 50 | 41 | 14 | 17 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 51 | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |