BMIE Market 02863

Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,701 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,683 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,385 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,484 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$352,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02863
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+94.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 35–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.92) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02863. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.92, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.2	55	40%	+22.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.6	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	80.4	80	25%	+20.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,701	84	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	49,285	14	40%	+5.6
Households (ACS)	7,683	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	94.1	90	35%	+31.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.5	54	25%	+13.6
Population (ACS)	22,701	84	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	49,285	14	20%	+2.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	94.1	90	30%	+27.0
20-year restaurant growth	26.9	50	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

Latin American (other) 22 · Mexican 13 · Bakery 10 · American 7 · Dessert 7 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Coffee 5 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bar 17 · Bakery 13 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Flags Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1255 Broad St	open
3amigos takeria restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	735 Dexter St	open
765 LOUNGE	Bar			open
Antigua Guatemala Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	740 Dexter St	open
Auli's Panda 唐興	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	863 Broad St	open
Beirao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European	1374 Broad St	open
Benjamins Iii Inc	Bar		722 Broad St	open
Best Eastern Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	773 Lonsdale Ave	open
Budare Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	716 Dexter St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	800 Lonsdale Ave	open
California Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	428 Dexter St	open
China House 華園	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	555 Dexter St	open
Costa Del Sol Restaurant Costa del Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	502 Roosevelt Ave	open
Crown Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	830 Broad St	open
Dominican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		830 Broad St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	957 Broad St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	542 Broad St	open
El Gallo de Oro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1270 Broad St	open
El Paisa Restaurant El Paisa Internacional	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	598 Dexter St	open
El Paso Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	1252 Broad St	open
El Rey del Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	156 Washington St	open
El Salvador Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	525 Dexter St	open
El Salvadoreno Restaurant El Salvador Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	791 Lonsdale Ave	open
Georgia's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	915 Dexter St	open
Good Fellas tavern	Casual dining · Bar		664 Dexter St	open
Grated Mix	Restaurant (service type not stated)		663 Dexter St	open
Hacker's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	435 Pine St	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	957 Broad St	open
Jds Bar	Bar		137 Central St	open
Kings Fried Chicken	Quick service		830 Broad St	open
La Casona Restaurant	Bakery	Latin American (other) · Bakery	768 Broad St	open
La Colombiana Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other)	477 Dexter St	open
La Fruta Loca	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	883 Dexter St	open
La Herradura Taqueria Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	716 Dexter St	open
La Palencianita Bakery and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	810 Broad St	open
La Reina De Las Pupusas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	48 Cross St	open
La Sorpresa Bakery	Bakery	Latin American (other) · Bakery	723 Broad St	open
La Taberna Restaurante Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	695 Lonsdale Ave	open
La Tienda De Alinary	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	287-399 Cowden St	open
Las Quesudas Factory	Bakery	Bakery	1075 High St	open
Livingwell Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	578 Dexter St	open
Lleras Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1252 Broad St	open
Mas Chamoy	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	428 Dexter St B	open
Mato Grande Pub	Bar · Casual dining		Mato Grande Pub, 534 Hunt St	open
Maxiburger05	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		664 Broad St	open
Mb Desserts	Bakery	Bakery	72 Ledge St	open
Mimi & Pop's Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1306 Broad St	open
Miriam Tipico Restaurant	Quick service	Latin American (other)	744 Dexter St	open
New Hong Kong	Restaurant (service type not stated)		514 Broad St	open
Odi's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	663 Dexter St	open
Odys Guatemalan Restaurant	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	663 Dexter St	open
P Jay's Pub	Bar		6 Crossman St	open
Petencito Restaurant Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		531 Dexter St	open
Pinulito Rhode Island	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1270 Broad St	open
Pupuseria Rosita LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		531 Dexter St	open
Restaurante Monte Cristo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	804 Broad St	open
Salinas lounge	Bar		200 Cross St	open
Salud Es Riqueza	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	578 Dexter St	open
SALUD y VIDA	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	797 Broad St	open
Samayoas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American · Latin American (other)	801 Broad St	open
Shark’s Peruvian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	Rhode Island's Blackstone Valley, 1368 Broad St	open
Sparky's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	548 Dexter St	open
Splash Snack Bar	Bar		548 Lonsdale Ave	open
Stanley's Famous Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	535 Dexter St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	310 Broad St	open
Tacos el paraíso Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	428 Dexter St B	open
Taqueria Lupita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	765 Dexter St	open
The Cosmopolitan RI	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	494 Dexter St	open
Tikal Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	761 Broad St	open
Tio Pepe's Cantina	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	508 Dexter St	open
Tito Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	Mexican	725 Dexter St	open
Top Shell Shell	Bakery · Catering	Pizza · Bakery	55 Conduit St	open
Tuxpan taqueria Taqueria Taxco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	355 Broad St	open
Vanderly Coffee Restaurant	Bar · Café	Spanish / tapas · Coffee	765 Broad St	open
Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	650 Dexter St	open
Wood Grilled Pizza Crusts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	55 Conduit St	open
Xelapan Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	904 Lonsdale Ave	open
Vulcao Cafe	Bar		200 Cross St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	36	22	—	—	—	14	SIC1987
1995	33	22	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1996	41	27	—	—	—	14	SIC1987
1997	41	28	—	—	—	13	SIC1987
1998	46	25	9	13	3	15	NAICS1997
1999	41	20	8	9	3	15	NAICS1997
2000	40	21	9	10	2	13	NAICS1997
2001	41	22	9	10	3	13	NAICS1997
2002	41	23	10	10	3	12	NAICS1997
2003	45	26	12	10	4	12	NAICS2002
2004	42	25	11	10	4	13	NAICS2002
2005	42	24	10	10	4	14	NAICS2002
2006	40	25	11	10	4	12	NAICS2002
2007	40	25	13	8	4	11	NAICS2002
2008	35	21	10	7	4	11	NAICS2007
2009	35	23	10	8	5	9	NAICS2007
2010	36	24	11	9	4	9	NAICS2007
2011	34	23	10	9	4	8	NAICS2007
2012	32	22	11	8	3	8	NAICS2012
2013	31	17	8	6	3	9	NAICS2012
2014	35	20	9	7	4	10	NAICS2012
2015	31	19	9	8	2	10	NAICS2012
2016	37	23	11	10	2	9	NAICS2012
2017	34	23	10	8	5	8	NAICS2017
2018	33	24	10	9	5	7	NAICS2017
2019	39	27	12	10	5	6	NAICS2017
2020	33	24	12	7	5	4	NAICS2017
2021	37	29	16	9	4	4	NAICS2017
2022	42	30	14	10	6	8	NAICS2022
2023	45	33	17	10	6	8	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02863. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02860	1.4 mi	77	2023
02861	2.2 mi	45	2023
02904	3.1 mi	85	2023
02865	3.4 mi	43	2023
02906	3.5 mi	99	2023
02918	3.8 mi	1	2016
02916	3.9 mi	22	2023
02908	4.2 mi	58	2023
02912	4.5 mi	1	2016
02911	4.8 mi	24	2023
02903	5.0 mi	208	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.