BMIE Market 02861
Providence County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,456 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,178 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,432 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $83,411 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,245 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $315,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02861 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +2.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 39–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02861. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.0 | 79 | 40% | +31.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.1 | 50 | 35% | +17.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 25.9 | 26 | 25% | +6.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,124 | 88 | 40% | +35.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,411 | 66 | 40% | +26.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,065 | 87 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16 | 49 | 25% | +12.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,124 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,411 | 66 | 20% | +13.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.2 | 25 | 50% | +12.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 2.3 | 36 | 20% | +7.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (98)
By cuisine
Pizza 14 · Dessert 12 · American 10 · Coffee 8 · Italian 8 · Bakery 6 · Chinese 6 · Breakfast 5 · Mexican 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 62 · Bar 15 · Bakery 13 · Casual dining 13 · Dessert 13 · Quick service 12 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 579 Benefit Street Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 579 Benefit St | open |
| A&j Enterprises Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 99 Newport Ave | open | |
| Arigna Irish Pub & Coal Fire Kitchen Arigna Irish Pub & Coal Fire Kitchen | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 507 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Awesome Sweets | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 654 Central Ave | open |
| Babes Pie Co. | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 258 Kenyon Ave | open |
| Bandidos Mexican Restaurant Bandidos Mexican Restaurant RI | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 832 Newport Ave | open |
| Bel Sogno Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1438 Newport Ave | open | |
| Bella Pasta Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 514 Benefit St | open | |
| Bess Eaton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1242 Newport Ave | open | |
| Bobby's Restaurant & Receptions | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | BBQ | 1593 Newport Ave | open |
| Boulevard Grille And Cigar Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 609 Armistice Blvd | open | |
| Burger Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 855 Newport Ave | open |
| Cafe Ordway | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 3 Ordway St | open |
| California Taco Shop California Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 877 Central Ave | open |
| Camila’s Mini Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · European | 167 Benefit St | open |
| Canton Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 293 Newport Ave | open |
| Celtic Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 755 Broadway | open | |
| Central Ave Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 679 Central Ave | open |
| Central Avenue Donuts, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1113 Central Ave | open | |
| Century Best Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 881 Central Ave | open |
| Chelos Beef Hearth of Pawtucket | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 45 Newport Ave | open |
| Del's Frozen Lemonade | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 446 Central Ave | open |
| Diva's Sweet Treats Cupcakery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 508 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 448 Newport Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1113 Central Avenue | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1414 Newport Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 372 Cottage St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 337 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 81 Newport Ave | open |
| East Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 52 Narragansett Park Dr | open |
| El Cafetal Cafe | Café | Coffee | 832 Newport Ave | open |
| Ember Hookah Lounge | Bar | 590 Newport Ave | open | |
| Fiesta Tex-mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 295 Armistice Blvd | open | |
| Five Corners Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 11 Benefit St | open |
| Flavors Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 573 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Galito Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · European | 214 Columbus Ave | open |
| George's Neighborhood Grill & Bar | Bar | 109 Newport Ave | open | |
| Great Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 856 Newport Ave | open | |
| GUACADO Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Halal / kosher | 285 Newport Ave | open |
| Hasbro, Inc. (HQ) | Quick service | 1011 Newport Ave | open | |
| Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1515 Newport Ave | open |
| Hose Company No. 6 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 636 Central Ave | open |
| Hotbet777 Freeplay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 223 Newport Ave | open |
| J's Brothers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 169 Benefit St | open |
| j. joy's cake and candy studio | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 24 Harris Street Tastings By Appointment | open |
| Joe's Bar and Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 836 Central Ave | open | |
| Kip's Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 826 Newport Ave | open |
| La Esquina Colombiana Bar And Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 266 Grand Ave | open | |
| Lafayette Club Real Page | Bar | 71 Benefit St | open | |
| Len's Ice Cream Haven | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 401 Unit B, Newport Ave | open |
| Li Lai Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 655 Central Ave | open |
| Liberty Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 732 Central Ave | open |
| Marti's Cupcakes and More | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 508 Armistice Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 285 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Ming Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 295 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Natalie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1479 Newport Ave | open |
| Naz's Halal Food - Pawtucket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 103 Newport Ave Ste 2 | open |
| Newport Avenue Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1100 Newport Ave | open |
| Notes Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 508 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Osaka | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 514 Benefit St | open |
| Our Spot Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 562 Newport Ave | open | |
| Pamela's Pastry Shoppe | Bakery | Bakery | 832 Newport Ave | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 295 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Papa Pasquale's - Pawtucket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 295 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Pepperoni's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 392 Cottage St | open |
| PieZoni's Pizza | Quick service | 392 Cottage St | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1242 Newport Ave | open |
| Pizza Works | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 103Newport Avenue | open |
| Pollo Royal Pollo Royal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Latin American (other) | 214 Columbus Ave | open |
| Purple Cow Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1476 Newport Ave | open |
| Quinn's Irish Pub | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 433 Benefit St | open |
| R.j.w. Enterprises, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 337 Armistice Blvd | open | |
| Raise the Roost | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1253 Newport Ave | open |
| Saint Maria Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 842 Newport Ave | open |
| Saint Paul Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11 Benefit St | open | |
| Sgk Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 295 Armistice Blvd | open | |
| Shannon's Place | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 737 Broadway | open |
| Smoothie World | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 822 Newport Ave | open |
| Spumoni's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1537 Newport Ave | open |
| St Arsani Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 103 Newport Ave | open | |
| Steel Line Pizza Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | 67 Garrity St | open |
| Stefan's Cucina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 413 Central Ave | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 287 Armistice Blvd | open |
| Sullivan's Publick House | Bar · Casual dining | 572 Armistice Blvd | open | |
| Super Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 805 Broadway | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7 Newport Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Buen Pastor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 535 Central Ave | open |
| Thai Basil, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 448 Newport Ave | open |
| The Hungry Goat's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 881 Central Ave | open |
| Tiggers Two | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 429 Benefit St | open |
| Toti's Pizza and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 622 Central Ave | open |
| Uncle Sams Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11 Benefit St | open |
| Vets Bar | Bar | 623 Central Ave | open | |
| Walt's Roast Beef | Other | Sandwiches | 285 Newport Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 368 Cottage St | open |
| White Ash Cigar Lounge | Bar | 413 Central Ave | open | |
| Habanos Cigar Lounge Inc | Bar | 1438 Newport Ave | closed | |
| Namaste Gourmet Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 877 Central Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 43 | 36 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 36 | 30 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 37 | 30 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 45 | 39 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 54 | 43 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 56 | 44 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 57 | 45 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 53 | 43 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 56 | 47 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 53 | 44 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 53 | 45 | 17 | 19 | 8 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 62 | 52 | 18 | 24 | 9 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 57 | 48 | 17 | 23 | 7 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 58 | 50 | 17 | 24 | 9 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 59 | 52 | 18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 58 | 52 | 21 | 22 | 9 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 56 | 50 | 20 | 21 | 9 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 55 | 48 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 57 | 49 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 55 | 48 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 54 | 47 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 54 | 48 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 58 | 50 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 57 | 49 | 22 | 21 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 55 | 46 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 56 | 45 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 57 | 46 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 53 | 43 | 17 | 22 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 57 | 47 | 16 | 24 | 7 | 6 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 57 | 45 | 16 | 23 | 6 | 6 | NAICS2022 |