BMIE Market 02835

Newport County, Rhode Island · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,405 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,998 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$140,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	58.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,629 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±916 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$842,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59,294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02835
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02835. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Rhode Island and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 71, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.7	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.5	48	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	15.1	15	25%	+3.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,534	62	40%	+24.8
Median household income (ACS)	140,625	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	2,500	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	5,534	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	140,625	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 6 · Seafood 5 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · BBQ 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 6 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1 Ferry Wharf	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1 East Ferry Wharf	open
22 Tap And Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22 Narragansett Ave	open
Ace's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5 Clarke St	open
Angels Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	23B Narragansett Ave	open
Beech	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		13 Narragansett Ave	open
Chopmist Charlie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	40 Narragansett Ave	open
Crudo Jamestown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	14 Narragansett Ave	open
Cynthia's Cottage Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	164 Capstan St	open
East Ferry Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	47 Conanicus Ave	open
Jamestown Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14 Narragansett Ave	open
Jamestown Restaurant Group, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 Narragansett Ave	open
Jamestown Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		138 Narragansett Ave	open
Jb's On The Water	Restaurant (service type not stated)		150 Conanicus Ave	open
Narragansett Cafe	Bar · Casual dining		25 Narragansett Ave	open
Our Table Jamestown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	53 Narragansett Ave	open
Pink Pig BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	35 Narragansett Ave	open
Scuttlebutt Snack Bar	Quick service		252 Narragansett Ave	open
Simpatico Jamestown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13 Narragansett Ave	open
Slice of Heaven	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	32 Narragansett Ave #1166	open
Splash Dogz	Food truck	Hot dogs	Beavertail Rd	open
Standards Jamestown	Bar	Seafood · American	40 Narragansett Ave	open
Sunset Beach Oyster Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	35 Narragansett Ave	open
Tallulah's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mexican · Coffee	35 Narragansett Ave	open
The Hard-Pressed Cider Company	Food truck		71 Weeden Ln	open
The Hard-Pressed Cider Company - Labor Day to Thanksgiving	Food truck		71 Weeden Ln	open
The Shack	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	252 Narragansett Ave	open
The Wicked Whisk	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	79 North Rd	open
Village Hearth Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	2 Watson Ave	open
Walrus And Carpenter Oyster Bar	Bar		252 Narragansett Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	9	5	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	13	9	4	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	9	4	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02835. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02841	2.5 mi	2	2016
02840	3.8 mi	119	2023
02874	5.0 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.